Charts and Metastock: |
Short selling is selling shares you don't own, with the plan to buy them back later at a lower price. You borrow stock from your broker, sell it at the current bid, wait for the price to drop, then cover by buying it back and returning the shares. The difference is your profit. It's the cleanest way to make money on the short side and the easiest way to blow up an account if you treat it like a long trade in reverse. The mechanics are simple. The risk is not.
The mechanics break into four steps:
Example. You short 100 shares of XYZ at $50. Your account shows $5,000 in proceeds. The stock drops to $35. You buy 100 shares at $35 for $3,500, return them, and keep $1,500. The stock went down and you made money. That’s the whole idea.
The risk profile of a short is not the mirror image of a long. It’s worse, in specific and asymmetric ways.
The seductive part of the trade is the certainty itch — the sense that a stock is so obviously overvalued, so clearly broken, that profiting from its decline is just a matter of clicking sell. Have you ever been absolutely sure a stock was going to drop and wanted to make money on the way down? Most traders have. The problem is in the words “absolutely sure.” Nobody is. Being wrong on a short is a different category of pain from being wrong on a long, and the math doesn’t forgive it the same way.
A short squeeze happens when a heavily shorted stock starts to rise, forcing shorts to buy shares to cover, which lifts the price further, which forces more shorts to cover. The feedback loop produces some of the most violent upward moves you’ll see on a chart.
What feeds a squeeze:
A textbook example played out in BIDU (Baidu) in April 2007, when the stock gapped up around 20% on earnings. The question at the time was whether shorting a name at a PE above 100 still made sense. The answer is the rule: never short a stock just because it looks expensive. Valuation is not a timing tool. A name at a PE of 100 can trade to a PE of 200 before it cracks. Expensive can get more expensive for longer than your margin will let you stay short.
Short selling is a tool, not a strategy. It works in specific situations.
Short selling is legal in the U.S., but regulated.
An alternative to shorting stock is buying [[Options & Derivatives|put options]]. A put gives you the right to sell a stock at a specific strike within a specific timeframe. The advantage over a short sale: your maximum loss is the premium paid. If the stock rips to the moon, you lose the premium and nothing more. The trade-off is that puts expire, so you have to be right on direction and on timing.
For most retail traders, buying puts is a safer way to express a bearish view than shorting outright. The defined risk removes the margin-call problem and the unlimited-loss problem in one move.
If you’re going to short, the rules are tight:
See also: [[What Is a Bear Market?]] · [[Head and Shoulders Pattern]] · [[Support and Resistance]] · [[Understanding Volume]] · [[Position Sizing and Risk Management]]
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