3SOF

Public 3SOF Boards => Stock Picking => Topic started by: bjc on October 25, 2007, 04:40:41 PM

Title: TNE
Post by: bjc on October 25, 2007, 04:40:41 PM
This has to be the cheapest stock I've seen far and wide lately, based on earnings and growth.

TNE was in a tender offer to be sold for $24-$26 a share to Telemar Participacoes SA, the biggest fixed-line operator in Brazil.  Shareholders turned the offer down, this was a couple weeks ago.  

TNE trades for 10 times earnings.  I'll post more later.


Additional:
They are mainly fixed wireless in Brazil, with a small portion wireless and broadband.  Growth is there, and it is CHEAP.  Once it breaks $25 it should really be off the races.  Some momentum guys will be getting in then.  The chart looks ugly because of the buyout that was turned down, and people sold it off a little bit after the deal didn't happen.  Now is time for turnaround.  It could take a little bit but the uptrend has no reason not to continue, the value is very very cheap for a company that is still growing at this pace.   To be honest I can't understand the valuation at all.  This stock has much more business trading at $50 than $20.
Title: Re: TNE - Tele Norte Leste Partic. ADR
Post by: bjc on November 05, 2007, 10:26:12 PM
Here...from http://www.moneymorning.com/2007/11/02/global-investing-roundup-6/

"In Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, yesterday, telecommunications company Tele Norte Leste Participatoes SA (TNE) reported its profits doubled in the third quarter. Tele Norte said that profits reached 637 million Brazilian reals, or $367 million, compared with 270 million reals ($155.7 million) in the third quarter of 2006. Not only did earnings leap compared to last year, they were well ahead of the consensus analyst expectations of BRL453.3 million ($261.67 million). Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) also jumped from  $890 million in 2006 to $1.1 billion this year. Mobile phone subscriptions were up18%, to 14.9 million, while the number of fixed-line customers fell 1.9% to 16.70 million. Subscriptions to its broadband Internet service, Oi Velox, jumped 33% in the quarter, reaching 1.39 million users.  In addition to the rising revenue, the company was able to reduce operating expense 8.3% - from $158.6 billion last year to $145.4 billion this. Total debt levels fell for Tele Norte as well, reaching $1.79 billion compared to prior year levels of $3.19 billion."

This is $0.82 a share for the quarter.

To be growing and still be valued at less than 10x earnings in an emerging market is silly.  Either the market starts giving TNE a higher valuation by bidding it higher or shareholders will receive another premium via buyout.  But I'm sure shareholders would turn down the offer again though.  This valuation just doesn't make any sense to me. 
Title: Re: TNE - Tele Norte Leste Partic. ADR
Post by: BigSully1 on January 07, 2008, 07:27:20 PM
Up 9% on strong volume today and regained it's 50DMA.
Title: Re: TNE - Tele Norte Leste Partic. ADR
Post by: bjc on January 08, 2008, 11:05:59 AM
Nice, Sully.  I sold this a couple months back for a loss but might need to get back in.  I need to free up cash though i'm once again in the unfortunate situation of being fully invested.
Title: Re: TNE - Tele Norte Leste Partic. ADR
Post by: nexta on January 08, 2008, 02:46:52 PM
TNE probably goes up after upgrade of Merrill Lynch

It is from yahoo TNE board nickname Male:

DJ Merrill Lynch Upgrades Brazil Telecom Oi To Buy

----------------------------------------------------- ---------------------------

Dow Jones Real-Time News for InvestorsSM
09:34 a.m. 01/07/2008



SAO PAULO (Dow Jones)--Merrill Lynch upgraded shares in Brazil's largest telecom Tele Norte Leste Participacoes (TNE), or Oi, to buy based on attractive valuations and the possibilities that a share restructuring at rival Brasil Telecom Participacoes may bring, said the investment bank in a report Monday.

Local press reports suggest that Brasil Telecom's controlling group could be working to restructure, which may set a precedent for Oi, whose controllers have failed in two restructuring attempts, said the report.

A restructuring could make Oi's evaluation at 2.5 times Ebidta for 2008 look even more attractive than at present, said the report.

It could also facilitate an eventual merger of the two operators.

Merrill set a 12-month price target of $26 for Oi's American Depositary Receipts and 83 Brazilian reals ($47.43) for Oi preferred shares.

Oi preferred shares were 4.8% higher at BRL34.89 in early trade on the Sao Paulo Stock Exchange, or Bovespa.
Title: Re: TNE - Tele Norte Leste Partic. ADR
Post by: BigSully1 on January 09, 2008, 04:48:24 PM
BIG breakout! BIG volume!
Title: Re: TNE - Tele Norte Leste Partic. ADR
Post by: bjc on January 09, 2008, 08:27:56 PM
Does it have some more for tomorrow?  I bought towards yesterdays high at 22.02 or something.

A couple charts:
Title: Re: TNE - Tele Norte Leste Partic. ADR
Post by: BigSully1 on January 09, 2008, 11:08:13 PM
Quote from: bjc on January 09, 2008, 08:27:56 PM
Does it have some more for tomorrow?  I bought towards yesterdays high at 22.02 or something.

A couple charts:

It looks like it's got legs to me. I just hope you don't sell TKC, it's going to have it's day(s) too, hopefully very soon.
Title: Re: TNE - Tele Norte Leste Partic. ADR
Post by: bjc on January 09, 2008, 11:36:38 PM
I love TKC Sully.  The fundies are there for sure, and we just need some help from the market and the chart can start getting itself together.  MICC is another great one along the lines of TKC and VIP.  MICC in emerging markets like Africa and South America.  16 markets that they all expect major growth in......

Its only a matter of time before savvy investors come in and buy these depressed shares of these great companies.  imo of course...
Title: Re: TNE - Tele Norte Leste Partic. ADR
Post by: nexta on January 10, 2008, 03:53:36 PM
from Telegeography Database:
Brazil 
   

Thursday, 10 January 2008
Telemar to buy back USD1.4bn worth of shares

Telemar Norte Leste, a subsidiary of Brazil's largest telecoms company by subscribers Telemar Participacoes, has revealed plans to buy back up to three million shares (voting and non-voting), equivalent to approximately 10% of traded shares during the year, writes BNamericas citing a company filing to the securities regulator CVM. It estimates the total value of the buyback could top BRL2.6 billion (USD1.4 billion).
Title: Re: TNE - Tele Norte Leste Partic. ADR
Post by: BigSully1 on January 10, 2008, 04:12:18 PM
Brazil stocks rise led by Telemar, real up on Fed
Thu Jan 10, 2008 4:04pm EST  Email | Print | Share| Reprints | Single Page | Recommend (0) [-] Text
Title: Re: TNE - Tele Norte Leste Partic. ADR
Post by: bjc on February 01, 2008, 10:05:32 AM
TNE continues to perform well.

Too bad I sold for a small gain a couple / few weeks ago.  This is a good value and should continue to run.
Title: Re: TNE - Tele Norte Leste Partic. ADR
Post by: BigSully1 on March 31, 2008, 10:12:50 AM
update