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Public 3SOF Boards => Previous 3SOF Picks => Topic started by: David Randolph on May 26, 2005, 07:00:25 AM

Title: SUPG
Post by: David Randolph on May 26, 2005, 07:00:25 AM
SuperGen, Inc. (SUPG). The Group's principal activity is to develop and commercialize therapies for solid tumors, hematological malignancies and blood disorders.

Let us see the all history chart:

(http://www.3stocksonfire.org/trading/index.php?action=dlattach;attach=348;image)

And the short term chart:

(http://www.3stocksonfire.org/trading/index.php?action=dlattach;attach=349;image)

We have a descending trendline breakout and a white marubozu with above average volume. I'm expecting this technical signal to produce some results in the short term, so I'll buy SUPG at today's open.

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Title: Re: SUPG: a simple breakout
Post by: saffeysite1 on May 26, 2005, 11:25:23 AM
Good one.  Had this on watch.  Should be a nice play.
Title: Everything is set ...
Post by: David Randolph on May 28, 2005, 05:35:54 PM
... for her to slowly but surely get to the gap zone. Let's see if the stock accomplishes her mission.
Title: SUPG is still consolidating
Post by: David Randolph on June 02, 2005, 05:23:38 AM
There was no technical damage to the chart over the last few days, but I don't want to see SUPG closing below $4.89. If something like that happens, the «simple breakout» that I was talking about turns into a «false breakout» and that usually leads to great downward movements.
Title: SUPG did obey ...
Post by: David Randolph on June 03, 2005, 05:27:48 AM
... not closing below $4.89, she closed just at that price !

I'll have no mercy with this stock if she's set to close below this floor level because that would tell me a false breakout did happen.
Title: Re: SUPG: a simple breakout
Post by: kfy168 on June 04, 2005, 02:44:16 AM
It seems that it will continue to go down for short term (days).  However, for long term (weeks), it still have a chance to go up.  What do you think we shhould do about this stock?  Obviously, I loaded it up when you recommended it.
Title: I wasn't around to see the close ...
Post by: David Randolph on June 05, 2005, 04:34:30 AM
... but I see now that SUPG did made a false breakout. I'm selling the next open never mind what price it will be - it's a matter of discipline.

Perhaps the stock is just pulling back to that descending trendline before it actually moves higher but I'm not willing to pay to see what happens. The fact that one stock is x% below my buying point is a reason to sell and no other is necessary.

Cut the losses short, let your profits run - there's no mystery to it but it seems so hard to do it. Like Livermore said, you must fear your losses wide and hope your profits grow, which is contrary to human nature.

I believe it is a lot easier to sell a losing stock when you're absolute confident you'll replace it with a winning stock. And there are thousands of stocks to consider and hundreds of them will rise, some will rise beyond our dreams.
Title: Re: SUPG: a simple breakout
Post by: kfy168 on June 06, 2005, 01:15:09 AM
Wise decision.  I'll do the same.
Title: Re: SUPG: a simple breakout
Post by: David Randolph on August 14, 2005, 11:14:25 AM
QuoteWise decision.  I'll do the same.

Well, it wasn't so wise after all  ;D

Off course, a man always needs to have discipline and follow a strategy and I did that, so I was right. But SUPG did rise a lot and effectively it came up to fill the big gap, as I was expecting on the initial recommendation of the stock.

In fact I said this:

Quote from: David Randolph on May 28, 2005, 05:35:54 PM
... for her to slowly but surely get to the gap zone. Let's see if the stock accomplishes her mission.

The stock did accomplish the mission, but without me on board  :-[