3StocksOnFire — US Stock Trading Community · 451+ trades · 257% returns · 15,000 members · Main Site · Trader's Guide · Articles · Video Analyses
3 Stocks On Fire
3StocksOnFire Community Forum
Home Message Boards Trader's Guide Articles Video Analysis About Us Search Register
Menu

Show posts

This section allows you to view all posts made by this member. Note that you can only see posts made in areas you currently have access to.

Show posts Menu

Messages - newnewbie

#1
RICK is looking stronger every day. With super strong being reported earlier than usual, RICK  could explode next week.
#2
I don't think the current price reflects the $2M net income the company expects for this year. Most investors nowadays don't take/patience to llok at the details. I bet they don't even know that $2M equates to about 50c/share. Furthermore, investors like to chase hot stocks and RICK will be a hot stock after earnings.
#3
Stock Picking / BFLY
January 26, 2006, 03:22:06 AM
BFLY recently announced that it will report 4Q 2006 revenues at least 45% higher than 4Q 2004 and about 34% year/year revenue increase.

http://biz.yahoo.com/bw/060109/20060109006012.html?.v=1


What does this mean?

- 4Q 2006 revenues will be about $21M compared to $14.5M in 4Q 2005

- With a gross marging of about 39%, the net profit for the quarter will increase from$5.9M in 4Q 2005 to about $8.3M in 4Q 2006

- The increased marketing costs for 4Q 2006 will increase the SG&A costs from about $5.7M in 4Q 2005 to about $6.6M in 4Q 2006.

- This means that operating income will likely increase from $136K in 4Q 2005 to $1.7M in 4Q 2006.

- The bottom line is that BFLY might record its FIRST PROFITABLE QUARTER EVER!!

The future certainly looks bright for BFLY...specially if one accumulates at current prices.


Other Highlights:

- BFLY's largest institutional holder is The Soros Fund Management Inc. (controlled by billionaire George Soros) with 31% ownership. Overall, institutions own 41% of the float

- Insiders own 32% of the common stock.

- BFLY currently has less than 18M outstanding shares.

- There are about 5M shares in the public float.

- With the $59M 2006 revenues soon-to-be-announced, BFLY is trading at a ridiculous 0.33 P/S ratio

- BFLY has little over $5 in cash, no long-term debt, and about $90/share in shareholders' equity.


I believe that BFLY will be abig gainer in Frebruary 2006 and beyond. Its improved business plan is showing accelerated traction. Billionaire George Soros thinks BFLY is a good investment...he did not become a billionaire investing in money-losing ventures.


I suggest that you take the time to listen BFLY's recent presentation at a recent incestors' conference to get a better idea about the shorty and long-term prospects for this company on the move:

http://biz.yahoo.com/bw/060103/20060103005599.html?.v=1

My target: $1.5+ after 4Q 2005 and FY 2005 earnings in February 2006.


ABOUT BFLY:


Founded in 1998, Bluefly, Inc. (NASDAQ SmallCap: BFLY - News) is a leading online retailer of designer brands, fashion trends and superior values. Bluefly is headquartered at 42 West 39th Street in New York City, in the heart of the Fashion District. For more information, please call 212-944-8000 or click on www.bluefly.com.


*** Always do your own DD and invest at your own risk. For risks and uncertainties always check the latest company 10Q and 10K filings ***
#4
RICK IS GETTING READY TO MOVE UP AGAIN......
#5
I sold my DWCH to buy RICK a couple of weeks ago. I miissed the rally to $5++ but it doesn't matter now. I became concerned about the seasonality of their business. DWCH management was deceptively bullish in the 4Q 2005 CC and that eventually became a warning signal for me..... after hearing the CC over and over again. I believe DWCH will be OK in a few more querters after they diversify a little more to avoid the usual Q/Q choppiness of a growing software company.

RICK is a different story.....let's face it...beautiful women, good food, good atmosphere, alcohol, fun, sports, etc..are all recession proof...it doesn't matter if oil is $100...or gas $4.

Beautiful women are almost an afterthought at Rick's Cabarets. Typical Rick's customers are well-to-do professionals, bussiness owners, and just about every professional sports figure you can imagine. Rick's  food quality is better than most fancy restaurants. Rick's establishments are also well-equipped sports' bars. Since we have one sport or another in season year round, sports enthusiasts will always find Rick's atmosphere more fun (with   beautiful young ladies all around them  instead of their  girlfriends/wives).

#6
Lucas,

Seattle's Rick's is a drop in a bucket for RICK. The new Manhattan club is a cash cow...and Wall Streeters don't mind paying $17 for a drink. BTW, our friend  Boooyyaa!!! was spotted at Rick's Manhattan several times. Rick's manhattan will contribute over $8M in revenues this year and about $M in net income (float is 3M).

Listen to RICK's presentation to institutional investors (link in blog):

http://rickto10.blogspot.com/

DO YOUR DD
#7
RICK CONTINUES ITS UPWARDS MOVE....CHART LOOKING GREAT!

http://stockcharts.com/gallery/?RICK



DO YOUR DD
#8
It looks like investors don't want to pay that much for SUF today.

RICK, on the other hand is about to breakout....and this is why..




- 70% revenue growth in 2006 compared to 2005.

- 50c/share expected in 2006 vs. a 4c/share loss in 2005

- 3M share float

http://rickto10.blogspot.com/

To trade at a forward P/E of 30 it would have to be trading at $15

To trade at a forward P/S of 3, it would have to be trading at $15

With a 3M float, it could trade at $25.

RICK reminds me of FORD, DXPE, BOOM, HURC, and other similar low-floaters before they made it BIG. I clearly remember when those stocks were trading under $4 a couple of years ago. Compared to them, RICK has a much smaller float and could be far more explosive with steady volume. Steady volume will become the norm after earnings in mid February


DO YOUR DD
#9
SUF is a pump and dump. They have NO revenues and never will.   That hot air balloon will deflate just as fast as it went up.


RICK will be higher than SUF at year's end. In fact, RICK might be trading above $20 this year.

- 70% revenue growth in 2006 compared to 2005.

- 50c/share expected in 2006 vs. a 4c/share loss in 2005

- 3M share float

http://rickto10.blogspot.com/

To trade at a forward P/E of 30 it would have to be trading at $15

To trade at a forward P/S of 3, it would have to be trading at $15

With a 3M float, it could trade at $25.

RICK reminds me of FORD, DXPE, BOOM, HURC, and other similar low-floaters before they made it BIG. I clearly remember when those stocks were trading under $4 a couple of years ago. Compared to them, RICK has a much smaller float and could be far more explosive with steady volume. Steady volume will become the norm after earnings in mid February


DO YOUR DD


#10
Stock Picking / RICK
January 18, 2006, 03:04:17 AM
RICK CONTINUES ITS UPWARDS MOVE....CHART LOOKING GREAT!

http://stockcharts.com/gallery/?RICK



REMINDER: RICK COULD REACH $20++ THIS YEAR....RECORD 1Q EARNINGS IN LESS THAN 2 WEEKS.


PER GUIDANCE THIS MONTH:

- 70% revenue growth in 2006 compared to 2005.

- 50c/share expected in 2006 vs. a 4c/share loss in 2005

- REMEMBER: RICK's FLOAT is only 3M SHARES


Details in blog:


http://rickto10.blogspot.com/


To trade at a forward P/E of 30 it would have to be trading at $15

To trade at a forward P/S of 3, it would have to be trading at $15

With a 3M float, it could trade at $25.

RICK reminds me of FORD, DXPE, BOOM, HURC, and other similar low-floaters before they made it BIG. I clearly remember when those stocks were trading under $4 a couple of years ago. Compared to them, RICK has a much smaller float and could be far more explosive with steady volume. Steady volume will become the norm after earnings in mid February


DO YOUR DD
#11
Sorry, I did not see that post.

ATAR is looking strong today. Once it breaks $1.1, it could run nicely for several trading sessions.
#12
Stock Picking / INSM $1.9 MOVING UP RELENTLESSLY
December 29, 2005, 09:24:41 AM
Looks like $2+ is just around the corner

http://stockcharts.com/gallery/?INSM
#13
OK.

This is my last post on this thread until DWCH reaches $5. It is about to breakout now. That's all I'll say.

This link gives you a starting point for your own DD.

http://dwchtoten.blogspot.com/

#14
No one is telling you to buy. Do your own unbiased and objective  DD and you'll at least eliminate it as an investment opportunity based on your personal investment criteria and not on innuendo or other emotional reason.

Wiseman or no wiseman this one is a screaming buy at these prices.

good luck
#15
DWCH is starting to move up ahead of its 1Q 2006 earnings release:

http://stockcharts.com/gallery/?dwch

DWCH will release its 1Q 2006 earnings in January (per 4Q CC) about 3 weeks AHEAD of last year. When DWCH announces a release date in a few days, the stock will fly just like it did when 4Q earnings date was announced. This time however the expectations are a lot higher because of the blowout 4Q earnings.

Highlights:

- Record earnings expected (rev & net income)in 1Q 2006 based on recent trends.

- 11c/share net income on record revs in 4Q. 4th consecutive quarter of revenue and income growth

- Tiny 2.4M share float. 5M total outstanding shares

- $1/share cash

- Zero debt

- Currently trading at P/S of 0.8. Peers trade at 3++

- January effect......


BOTTOM LINE......MANY...MANY CATALYSTS FOR A EXPLOSION TO $6+ IN JANUARY IMO

Take a look at the exponential growth during 2004 capped with a 11c/share net income on record revenues. Analysts estimated 5c/share net income:


http://finance.yahoo.com/q/is?s=DWCH

DWCH has a sterling balance sheet featuring $1/share cash and ZERO debt:

http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bs?s=DWCH

The yearly revenue growth is impressive as well with $17M in 2003, $19M in 2004, and $21M in 2005.

I estimate revenue for 2006 to increase 20 to 30% compared to 2005.....net income of over 40c/share.

I expect DWCH to surpass $10/share after the 2nd quarter of 2006 because that would be 3 quarters in a row with double-digit net income.

FOR MORE DETAILS GO TO:

http://dwchtoten.blogspot.com/

ALSO CHECK OUT WSCI $3.7....STRONG EARNINGS TO BE NEXT WEEK:

http://wscitofive.blogspot.com/


Another low-float gem likely to be a huge gainer after 1Q 2006 earnings in January is RMI:

http://rmishines.blogspot.com/



ALWAYS DO YOUR DD