JSDA - Sector: Consumer Goods --- Industry: Beverages-Soft Drinks

[calven]

Okay a nice rally in JSDA - At what point to we flip position and short/put JSDA?

My thoughts:

Cramer calls for a fair valuation on JSDA of 1 billion (market cap)
Current Market Cap - 809 million
Target Market Cap - 1 billion
=191 million or another 19% more up from here

1.19 (% increase expected - 19%)  x $31.50 (current price)
= A target share price of 37.50

Being the fact that this stock has a large short position and momentum I would say this could go to 39-40 in a heartbeat...before being sold for profits.

We have to remember folks that this is a soda/drink company with a P/E of 170!


What do you guys think JSDA will top out at?

[setravis]

This sure looks like a blowoff top to me, as in "short squeeze". The chart has gone parabolic and no matter how strong the stock, it cannot be sustained. Having said that, these things can go on for much longer than expected. Sometimes short sellers can be a stock's best friend as they keep trying to call the top while the stock continues to move upward, exceeding their pain threshold, forcing them to cover their shorts and propelling the stock higher.
Cramer isn't helping by hysterically hyping this stock but there's nothing we can do about that. I wouldn't be surprised if he's reducing his position by selling into the rally. I wish I had a TV show where I could also do the old "pump n dump".......                                                                  
As I stated in my first post, JSDA has a Good product...Small company
Long term nice hold !!!
Shorts may suffer a thrashing.......and most likely have so.

52wk Range: 7.25 - 28.41
Volume: 9,422,942
Avg Vol (3m): 1,540,360

Technicals
Record Price High
Most Actives
Gap Up
Percentage Gainer
Price Gainer

Last Price Quote is:
32.17%above 13-day MA
67.22%above 50-day MA
RS Rating: 99 

Fundamentals
Key Data:
Market Cap (M): $724.34 
P/E Ratio: 154.42 
PEG Ratio: 2.92 
Next Earnings: 05/10/2007
Last Analyst Rating: Buy
 

[setravis]

This is still a very strong stock !
Bouncing here off a 38.2% Fib retrace.

52wk Range: 7.51 - 32.60
Volume: 1,565,282
Avg Vol (3m): 2,189,280

Technicals
Most Actives
Percentage Gainer

Last Price Quote is:
-3.96%below 13-day MA
14.29%above 50-day MA
RS Rating: 98 

Fundamentals
Earnings Expected on May 10

Key Data:
Market Cap (M): $590.87 
P/E Ratio: 125.96 
PEG Ratio: 2.382 
Next Earnings: 05/10/2007
Last Analyst Rating: Hold

[setravis]

AP
Jones Soda Shares Rise on Seahawks Deal
Wednesday May 23, 11:49 am ET 
Jones Soda Shares Climb on Seattle Seahawks Exclusive Sponsorship Agreement


NEW YORK (AP) -- Shares of Jones Soda Co. climbed Wednesday after the premium soda maker said it signed an exclusive sponsorship agreement with the Seattle Seahawks National Football League team.
In a regulatory filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission, Jones said it entered into the agreement Tuesday with Football Northwest LLC and First & Goal Inc., the owners and operators of the Seahawks.


Under the agreement, Jones will be a sponsor of the team, which means the company can use the team's trademark on its products. Also, Jones now has exclusive soft-drink and non-alcoholic beverage availability rights at the team's stadium, Qwest Field and Events Center.

The agreement begins July 1 and ends Feb. 28, 2012.

Jones, which is headquartered in Seattle, has garnered national attention in recent months for switching its sweetener to pure cane sugar from high fructose corn syrup. The company also recently signed deals with several major retailers, including Wal-Mart Stores Inc., to offer its new 12-ounce cans through its distribution agreement with National Beverage Corp.

Since the company announced earlier this year its list of new retailers, shares had consistently hit new highs. But earlier this month, the company suffered a setback when its first quarter profit failed to meet Wall Street's expectations due to costs associated with its expansion plans.

Shares have fallen 21 percent since then.

On Wednesday, the shares gained a bit back, rising 98 cents, or 4.9 percent, to $20.97 in midday trading.

[setravis]

A matter of interpretation.......JMHO of course...
I see this as a buy opportunity. Their expenses went up because of the huge expansion which will ultimately lead to huge earnings. If you are not in...I would venture to get in now.
I Don't anticipate it to go down any further.
Closed above the 13-day MA

52wk Range: 7.51 - 32.60
Volume: 3,947,030
Avg Vol (3m): 2,614,840

Technicals
Percentage Gainer

Last Price Quote is:
1.69%above 13-day MA
0.64%above 50-day MA
RS Rating: 98 

Fundamentals
Key Data:
Market Cap (M): $572.85 
P/E Ratio: 111.22 
PEG Ratio: 2.18 
Next Earnings: 08/09/2007
Last Analyst Rating: Neutral

[cdrankwalter]

bottom pg page 5... i guess i wont have to put my foot in my mouth, as i stated to short and claimed a 10 spot to the short side

[setravis]

AP
Jones Soda Shares Rise on Upgrade
Monday June 18, 12:34 pm ET 
Jones Soda Shares Climb After ThinkEquity Partners Analyst Upgrade


NEW YORK (AP) -- Shares of premium soda maker Jones Soda Co. rose Monday after a ThinkEquity Partners analyst upgraded his rating on the stock, saying the recent drop in the share price has created a buying opportunity for investors.

 
Analyst James Maher raised his rating to "Buy" from "Accumulate," saying last week's announcement by coffee chain Starbucks Corp. that it would stop selling the company's drinks has turned the stock into a good deal.

The stock price has dropped nearly 10 percent since Starbucks made the announcement Wednesday, leading Maher to say investors may be overreacting.

"We believe the loss of Starbucks as a distributor is not as negative as it may appear," the analyst said in a client note. "Those stores offering Jones Soda typically carried only two or three flavors and, we think, did not sell high in volumes as most customers came to Starbucks for coffee, not soda."

Starbucks, which has been selling Jones Soda bottles since 2004, said it would discontinue the product in its company-owned U.S. stores to make room for more sandwiches and food products.

Jones Soda has said the Starbucks sales are now less than 1 percent of the company's total revenue since it began distributing its sodas in cans for the first time to a much larger number of retailers, including Wal-Mart, Safeway and Albertson's, earlier this year.

"We believe the very small share of revenue Starbucks represented can be replaced by higher-margin sales, such as cans or fountain drinks," Maher said.

Maher said the Seattle-based company's deal to be the exclusive premier branded soft drink at Qwest Field -- the home of National Football League team the Seattle Seahawks -- will give the company more exposure and add to sales.

Jones Soda shares rose 41 cents, or 2.8 percent, to $15.25 in midday trading.

[cdrankwalter]

ive been super bearish on jones to this day as i stated previously however i took a position in it, i think its ready for another swing back up after this down side, charts looking quite nice

[setravis]

JONES SODA CO (NasdaqCM:JSDA)   

Pre-Market mover... +10.48%.......Volume @ 153,346

[tested411]

Showing a little life today.  Maybe Jones finally found some support at $14 and is finally bucking the downward trend.  Long and strong.

[Tirebldr]

Link to Jones Soda on Today show..
http://video.msn.com/v/us/fv/msnbc/fv.htm??g=b24654cd-1f68-41aa-bb76-05ba42509116&f=00&fg=

It takes you a couple of minutes to get to what you want to see. Good PR for Jones Soda

Holding good at the bottom of the gap.

[setravis]

Gap has been filled.......
Now you can think about going long.
Nothing happens with Jones Soda until it gets above its 200-day moving average.
Why do you think they hit it so hard? So they can scoop up your cheap shares and run it right back up.


52wk Range: 7.51 - 32.60
Volume: 4,861,571
Avg Vol (3m): 2,892,510

Technicals
Percentage Gainer

Last Price Quote is:
10.41%above 13-day MA
-7.26%below 50-day MA
RS Rating: 8 

Fundamentals
Key Data:
Market Cap (M): $390.63 
P/E Ratio: 75.84 
PEG Ratio: 1.562 
Next Earnings: 08/09/2007
Last Analyst Rating: Neutral

[tested411]

Ok, I'm out at 17.52.   I'll take my 23% gain in a little over a week, it probably goes higher still but this stock has a history of 3 bullish days followed by a sell off.  Good Luck.

[Terliso]

I think JSDA is going to run again on the upside. It seems like the 50SMA moving average is supporting the price in the weekly chart, like it did in the past.

[setravis]

Gap has been filled.......
Now you can think about going long.
Nothing happens with Jones Soda until it gets above its 200-day moving average.
Why do you think they hit it so hard? So they can scoop up your cheap shares and run it right back up.

I think JSDA is going to run again on the upside. It seems like the 50SMA moving average is supporting the price in the weekly chart, like it did in the past.

This stock is ready to move higher...Bottomed !

52wk Range: 7.56 - 32.60
Volume: 2,828,389
Avg Vol (3m): 2,691,870

Technicals

Last Price Quote is:
14.23%above 13-day MA
RS Rating: 5 

Fundamentals
Key Data:
Market Cap (M): $472.83 
P/E Ratio: 91.80 
PEG Ratio: 1.97 
Next Earnings: 08/09/2007
Last Analyst Rating: Neutral

Below are the 6 month and 3 year charts.......