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Messages - Doc

#1
Hello, Melf

Well, 2,69 as low is close enough to be considered target made (3.65). You were right about the retest. I have no study on the matter but I'm under the impression that retests may be more frequent going up than going down.

It now has a defined descending channel; it's top and the area of the failed double bottom come in play around the 15th. Only a move above will show strength.

2ez, hello. I don't know if you intend to go long or short, but playing with earnings is risky, so it depends of what risk you want to take. The technicals seems to me clear and last session it went up to the middle of the channel, reversed and finished nearly at the lows of the day. Not encouraging for longs.


#2
Quote from: Melf Elf on February 28, 2007, 06:51:46 AM

Well, it broke down.  I guess all of those "Gaps To Crap" on good news were clues, huh?

2.84 still is IN PLAY, and now 2.65 also is IN PLAY on the break of 3.67-3.68.

More often than not, I put these breakdowns on the back burner, and forget to watch them, so let's try to keep an eye on it if it goes below 3.00.

You're right,  those open gaps that fell back were clues.  I'll keep it mind next time they happen.

Before the targets are made, a retest of the break zone is in order, don't you think?
#3
Stock Picking / Re: I want the whole Bird Flu group: NVAX
February 25, 2007, 02:00:41 PM
You're right, if it breaks down, that's the target.
Let's not look up and forget that it may come down.

#4
Stock Picking / Re: I want the whole Bird Flu group: NVAX
February 24, 2007, 04:31:03 PM
Well, the first assault was repelled.
Even if the volume is thinning going down, it'd better start moving up, or else...

Keeping an eye on it.
#5
Stock Picking / Re: I want the whole Bird Flu group: NVAX
February 20, 2007, 09:19:28 AM
Greetings

I've been lurking for a while around here, this is my first post.
Melf, I like your posts and graphs (not just in this case).

I'd like to point that if one is considering a rising wedge, well, it's target is at least the start,  in this case 2.84...On the other hand, if one considers not  a rising wedge but a rising channel then it's break target would be around where we are now, I think.

Probably will move up from here as indicators are oversold; it needs to clear a short time resistance at around 4.00 to really show it can move higher.
This is my view.

Regards
Doc