3SOF

INTC is called higher on MER's recommendation to buy it ahead of earnings, but this isn't a stock that I want to buy.  

It essentially has had a Parabolic Rally from the late April low to the July high, which was an Abandoned Baby Island Reversal, followed by a Parabolic Return to the area where the rally began.

During the Parabolic Rally, the only area of base building was during June.  Not much.  You can see from the chart that once the Abandoned Baby Island Reversal was put in, INTC pretty much came straight down, with just a few rallies of short duration.  One rally was trying to hang on to June horizontal support; another was a rally back to the broken 200DMA.

The reason that I mention this is that the NASDAQ Composite currently is where INTC was in late August, when it broke June support, tried to hang onto that level, then tanked.

I'll post the NASDAQ chart next.

The NASDAQ Composite closed below its June low yesterday.

In addition to that, it has broken below its downward sloping channel, which is now resistance, and it has closed below its 200DMA for two consecutive days. 

If the NASDAQ trades higher here, scrambles to get back above resistance, then fails and breaks below yesterday's low, this sure is going to look like a H&S top, especially if we can't get above 2106, the high of the left shoulder.

Note that the rally off the late April low up to this level was parabolic, like INTC, and  we saw in the chart above what INTC did after it broke down below its comparable June low.

Just a "heads up." 

Quote from: Melf Elf on October 13, 2005, 09:01:28 AM
INTC is called higher on MER's recommendation to buy it ahead of earnings, but this isn't a stock that I want to buy. 

It essentially has had a Parabolic Rally from the late April low to the July high, which was an Abandoned Baby Island Reversal, followed by a Parabolic Return to the area where the rally began.

On October 13, MER recommended that we buy INTC ahead of earnings, a stock that has shown leadership on the downside, in a weak market that had just broken a channel to the downside, and that had just broken 2039 support.

   

INTC got the usual pop out of the recommendation, as did the rest of the market, but here's where the INTC rally left the NASDAQ at yesterday's close, ahead of INTC's earnings:  stopped at DOUBLE resistance at 2074 on both Monday and Tuesday, with a Bearish Hangman on Monday, and Black Candlestick yesterday.

QuoteThe reason that I mention this is that the NASDAQ Composite currently is where INTC was in late August, when it broke June support, tried to hang onto that level, then tanked.

The NASDAQ is weak, technically, and is indicated lower at the open on INTC's earnings.  It looks vulnerable for a number of reasons, some of which are:

1. It was bearish to break below the August-October channel of lower highs and lower lows.
2. It was bearish to break June 2039 support.
3. It was bearish to fail on Monday and Tuesday at DOUBLE resistance at 2074.
4. INTC has been showing leadership to the downside and is indicated to lead the market down at the open.

Quote from: Melf Elf on October 19, 2005, 06:04:52 AM
It looks vulnerable for a number of reasons, some of which are:
1. It was bearish to break below the August-October channel of lower highs and lower lows.
2. It was bearish to break June 2039 support.
3. It was bearish to fail on Monday and Tuesday at DOUBLE resistance at 2074.
4. INTC has been showing leadership to the downside and is indicated to lead the market down at the open.

5. It was bearish to get back above 2074 resistance, fail at next resistance, which was the prior low of 2093, then close back below the channel, and close back below the 200 DMA.

Still looks vulnerable.

I know this is a slow mover...but I can't overlook this breakout.... 

Quote from: calven on November 04, 2005, 01:22:55 AM
I know this is a slow mover...but I can't overlook this breakout.... 

Calven,

Boy, I can't either.  I've been watching INTC closely in an effort to determine if the breakdown from a H&S Top in the SMH was for real, or a "Bear Trap."

With that move in INTC, from making a new low for the move two days ago, to gapping above that twice validated down trendline yesterday, the breakdown in the SMH sure is looking like a Bear Trap.

INTC could shoot higher from here, after having been in such a steady decline, but often when stocks break out above a steep sloping down trendline like INTC did yesterday, they pull back toward the breakout. 

Yesterday, INTC got to within a penny of the October 18 high (green dotted horizontal line).  I'd like to see it pull back from that and form a little Inverse H&S, or "walk down the down trendline" and form a double bottom, then break out above 23.98-23.99 (green dotted horizontal line).

Thanks for the post, Calven, and for your nice chart.  Applause. 

I would agree with your analysis (applause). You are right...after such a long decline INTC is likely to close that small gap above the trendline. Wouldnt be a buyer quite yet but as you say once it "walks down the trendline" and attempts to fill this position becomes real attractive.

This position looks outstanding to the longer term investor. 23.00- 23.5 is a great entry from my perspective...

I would expect a short term target of 26 to be easily reachable...

Gotta love good old INTC


Target sell posted....

Intel With very good news Yesterday!

Company News

INTC:US Intel Corp
More on INTC:US


Intel Announces 25 Percent Cash Dividend Increase and
Authorizes $25 Billion in Share Repurchases

SANTA CLARA, Calif.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Nov. 10, 2005 Intel Corporation today announced that its board of directors has approved a 25 percent increase in the quarterly cash dividend to 10 cents per share beginning with the dividend that will be declared in the first quarter of 2006. The Intel board also authorized the repurchase of up to $25 billion in shares of common stock under the company's ongoing stock repurchase program.

" Intel's investments in R&D and capital are enabling the company to post its third consecutive year of double-digit revenue growth," said Paul Otellini, Intel president and CEO. " At the same time, we are returning record amounts of cash to our stockholders with one of the highest dividend yields in the technology industry and one of the largest share buyback programs of any company. Today's announcement signals our confidence in the growth, earnings and cash generating potential of our business."

Intel began paying a cash dividend in 1992 and has paid out approximately $5.8 billion to its stockholders over the past 52 quarters. Intel cash dividends for 2005 will total approximately $2 billion.

Since the company's stock buyback program began in 1990, Intel has repurchased approximately 2.5 billion shares for about $49 billion. For the first three quarters of this year, Intel repurchased over 300 million shares at a cost of approximately $7.5 billion, which compares to $7.5 billion in repurchases for all of 2004, the previous record for a full year. The average number of Intel common shares outstanding declined by over 10 percent from their peak during 1998 to approximately 6.1 billion as of the end of the third quarter of this year.

As of the end of the third quarter, approximately 313 million shares of stock remained available for repurchase under previous authorizations expressed in share amounts, representing approximately $7.8 billion of stock at the current stock price level. The board's authorization to repurchase up to $25 billion in shares includes this $7.8 billion of shares available for repurchase under previous authorizations.

Risk Factors Regarding Forward-Looking Statements

The statements in this document that refer to plans and expectations for the fourth quarter, the current year, 2006 and the future are forward-looking statements that involve a number of risks and uncertainties. Dividend declarations, the dividend rate and the scope of the stock buyback program are at the discretion of Intel's Board of Directors, and plans for future dividends and buybacks may be revised by the Board. Many factors could affect Intel's financial results which could potentially impact Intel's dividend and stock buyback programs, and variances from Intel's current expectations regarding such factors could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed in these forward-looking statements. Intel presently considers the factors set forth below to be the important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from Intel's published expectations. A more detailed discussion of factors that could affect Intel's results is contained in Intel's SEC filings, including the report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended Oct. 1, 2005.

-- Intel operates in intensely competitive industries. Intel's

results could be affected by the demand for and market

acceptance of Intel's products, manufacturing yields and the

availability of sufficient inventory to meet demand, pricing

pressures and actions taken by our competitors, the timing of

new product introductions and the timing and execution of the

manufacturing ramp. Factors that could cause demand to be

different from Intel's expectations include changes in

customer order patterns, including order cancellations,

changes in the level of inventory at customers, and changes in

business and economic conditions.

-- Intel's results could be impacted by unexpected economic,

social and political conditions in the countries in which

Intel, its customers or its suppliers operate, including

security risks, possible infrastructure disruptions and

fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates.

-- Intel's dividend and stock buyback programs could be affected

by changes in its capital spending programs, changes in its

cash flows and changes in tax laws, as well as by the level

and timing of acquisition and investment activity.

-- Intel's results could also be affected by adverse effects

associated with product defects and errata (deviations from

published specifications), and by litigation or regulatory

matters involving intellectual property, stockholder,

consumer, antitrust and other issues, such as the litigation

and regulatory matters described in Intel's SEC reports.

Intel, the world's largest chip maker, is also a leading manufacturer of computer, networking and communications products. Additional information about Intel is available at www.intel.com/pressroom.

Intel is a trademark or registered trademark of Intel Corporation or its subsidiaries in the United States and other countries.

-- Other names and brands may be claimed as the property of others.

CONTACT: Intel Corporation Doug Lusk, 408-765-1679 (Investor Relations) Tom Beermann, 408-765-6855 (Press Relations)
Last Updated: November 10, 2005 09:00 EST

Here a look to the rival AMD

Intel compairs AMD




AMD Had a Better run this Year compair with Intel

AMD had a  KGVe 61,81 and Intel only KGVe17,77

But why AMD had a better run this year?
http://finance.yahoo.com/q/is?s=INTC

and

http://finance.yahoo.com/q/is?s=AMD

Here you can see INTEL is more profitable than AMD


http://www.fool.com/News/mft/2005/mft05111021.htm?source=eptyholnk303100&logvisit=y&npu=y

AMD got the Prozessor with two chips first for Intel, but Intel got the better one


from 27.10.05

3. Quartal 2005

INTEL  raises  1,4%  of about 80,8%

AMD    raises   1,6% of about 17,8%

Intel got the better Financials and got more Marketpiece but AMD is about 3,4 more value on the stock exchange than INTEL. So i think INTEL got to outperform till December and the next Year.

At Setravis and Fousc

Can one of you make a chartanalyse, because you make this very good and I when i look on the chart i think Intel will have a good chance to perform very good.
Or every other.

Blocktrades tell us when insties Buy!

NEWS OUT

Intel Moves Up Release of Multi-Core Server Processors 

11/11/2005 Electronic News

Originally planned for release early next year, Intel Corp. bumped up the release of its first dual-core, hyper-threaded processors for servers with four or more processors, the company reported today.

The processors, which began shipping today, deliver what the company says are record levels of performance and are aimed at multi-threaded applications such as software for databases, supply chain management and financial services.

The Dual-Core Intel Xeon processor 7000 is shipping today with speeds up to 3GHz and a 667MHz dual independent system bus. The new processors fit into Intel's existing platforms using the E8500 dual-core chipset that shipped earlier this year.

Early next year, Intel said it would ship new versions of the chipset and processor to support an 800MHz dual independent system bus.

The platform shipping today includes DDR2 memory, PCI Express, advanced reliability features, and hardware-enabled support for Intel Virtualization Technology, designed to provide hardware support within the processor for virtualized server applications to make them more reliable, robust and efficient. Intel said it is also working with the industry to turn on this capability via a BIOS switch early next year.

Intel-based servers with dual-core technology will further increase the IT efficiency and system utilization for VMWare customers, said Brian Byun, VP of technical alliances for VMware, in a statement.

Virtualization is the killer application to harness the increased power of multi-core processors across a broad range of enterprise workloads, he explained.

VMware said it would deliver enhanced product capabilities through the hardware virtualization support enabled in IntelÂ's latest dual-core Intel Xeon processors.

Servers based on the Dual-Core Intel Xeon processor 7000 sequence are expected to be available from system manufacturers worldwide beginning today.

Looking ahead, Intel plans to deliver Tulsa, a 65nm dual-core Intel Xeon processor MP with a larger 16MByte shared L3 cache for servers with four or more processors, in the second half of next year that will fit into the same systems as the dual-core Intel Xeon processor 7000 sequence announced today. Tulsa is set to begin shipping to customers for evaluation by the end of the year, Intel said.

Last month, Intel added a new processor family for 2007 to the Xeon roadmap, codenamed Caneland, planned to include a quad-core processor, codenamed Tigerton, based on Intel's next generation micro-architecture. The Caneland platform is designed to deliver higher performance through a high-speed interconnect, an interface connecting each processor directly to the chipset, Intel said.

In addition, the Caneland platform is expected to implement an upcoming memory technology, called fully-buffered dual in-line memory module and will include four memory interconnects that take advantage of the increased capabilities of the technology, Intel concluded.

Intel looks pretty good.  Good break from a descending pattern with crosses over the 50 dma and 200 dma on good volume. As long as it doesn't drop below the 200 dma at 24.80 today, it still has the potential to run up to around 27.50-27.60.  Good gap above 200 dma and positive MACD that looks like it's starting to top out.  RSI is moving towards overbought but I still think INTC has about 10% left in it.  Today might be a good opportunity to get in for a quick run up.  Here's the chart:

WOW and    NEWS

14/2005 03:15:32 AM EST
CNET Networks

Intel is expected to launch new processors on Monday starting with its Pentium line that have the ability to subdivide tasks in a hardware feature called Virtualization Technology--or VT.

While VT is currently found in some of Intel's Xeon processors, this is the first time that the chipmaking giant has extended the technology to the desktop.

VT makes it easier to run multiple operating systems or applications in independent partitions or "containers" on the same chip, said Chad Taggard, Intel's director of technology marketing.

Intel is currently offering two chips with VT enabled. The 672 and 662 are currently shipping in desktops being offered by Asian PC makers Acer, Founder, Lenovo and TongFang. The Intel processors are priced at $605 and $401 respectively, in 1,000-unit quantities.

Beyond the single-core Pentium 4, Intel is expected to enable its dual-core Pentium D to run VT in the first quarter of 2006. By the first half of next year, Intel expects to fill out the rest of its product line including its next-generation Xeon and Itanium server processors as well as its Pentium M for laptops, Taggard said.

"We are starting out with releasing VT on a single-core Pentium because some government and IT agencies have standards that do not validate dual core as of yet and we want them to still take advantage of virtualization," Taggard said.

In the consumer space, Taggard said the VT technology could prevent some basic computer foul-ups.

For example, playing games or chatting through instant messaging with friends could be partitioned on a separate section of the computer, Taggard said.

"And when the machine turns off, that personal information is destroyed and does not carry on to the other partition," he said.

Online banking could also improve because a partitioned interaction would be erased after use rendering some spyware ineffective.

For dual-processor servers, VT support will arrive with the Dempsey dual-core processor due in the first quarter of 2006. AMD plans to introduce its equivalent technology, code-named Pacifica, in the first half of 2006.

"A company can update a PC's security software or other applications in the background without the user having to stop their work," Taggard said. "Each client could have a partition so that virus updates could be handled as the problem arises. Businesses can better protect themselves from viruses by filtering network traffic through a separate partition before it reaches the user."

The feature improves the performance and flexibility of software such as VMware's ESX Server, Xen and Microsoft's Virtual PC. All three companies have lent their support to Intel's endeavors, Taggard said.

The feature is one of the chipmaking giant's extensions sometimes referred to as a "Star Ts" or *Ts, Taggard said, which Intel plans on combining. Intel's VT is expected to compliment another Intel technology--Active Management Technology--on dual-core Intel business processors code-named Averill, later in 2006.