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Session of 02/02/2007

Started by David Randolph, February 02, 2007, 09:27:12 AM

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stocky

LMRA on fire. Just dont bet too much on this, but its still one of the best one when it gets going.

David Randolph

Quote from: Quilan on February 02, 2007, 09:36:18 AM
UDTT goes the right way!

Unfortunately it is heading south now, declining 7% as I write. It hit the $0.0175 resistance level earlier in the session (at least according to my quote machine). The medium and long term trends are bearish.

Fundamentally:

- Market cap is $1.2 M. Engaged in the research and development of bio-terrorism detection devices
- Balance Sheet: very bad, negative working capital of $3.33 M. Needs to keep selling shares in the open market to survive
- Revenue trend: Just $111 K in revenues over the past 5 quarters
- Losing half of its market cap every quarter

Needless to say I'm not buying this stock, but thanks for the suggestion :)

cramercramer


wzhang

MY Zica is on fire now, one week +20% is enough, I don't care long term FA.

stocky

David would you like to look into MVIS potential?

David Randolph

Quote from: kslifka on February 02, 2007, 09:36:54 AM
HAYZ

The long term trend is now bullish, and so is the short term trend. The stock today opened with a big gap up, and it may come down to close that gap, depending on the significance of the news that made it gap up.

Fundamentally:

- Market cap is $206 M. A supplier of wheels, wheel-end attachments, aluminum structural components, and automotive brake components
- Balance sheet: weak, with a current ratio of 1.41 and long term debt of $667 M
- Revenues are stable around $580 M a quarter. Price to sales ratio is very low at 0.08. The industry average is 0.52
- Losing big money every quarter, for the past 4 quarters. Lost $59 M in Q3 alone

The news today is:

• Hayes Lemmerz Announces Additional Initiatives Aimed at Streamlining Its North American Businesses
PR Newswire (Fri 6:54am)

They're selling some divisions and closing facilities to pay down debt. I don't think that changes the fact that they're losing big money, due to intense competition from foreign manufacturers.

I'm not a fan, this news might already have been discounted by the previous 200% rise in just 2 months or so.

Good luck :)

chobi

CPNE  ;)

Great pick David as always.....
For the short and for the long term..

willbrich


David Randolph

Quote from: Trumpitall on February 02, 2007, 09:41:24 AM
IBIN or CLDN

IBIN has just 600 shares traded today, I won't even bother with it, ok? Let me check CLDN ... barely moving today and nothing special on the fundamentals, being a transportation services company. Are you sure you're interested in these stocks?

Thanks :)


nica33

HGR is doing great today!! Dave, would you buy it again?
Keep it simple !!

David Randolph

Quote from: lancefur on February 02, 2007, 09:43:53 AM
ADM please

Lancefur, ADM is a $23 B market cap company, that is 46 times the maximum size we're looking for here at the 3 Stocks on Fire Portfolio message board, as you can read on the 3 SOF Portfolio FAQ

Ask for that one on the Members Corner, the "Analysis on Demand" thread that I'll look at it when I have a chance.

Thanks :)

tokyopua

#26
BRLC is looking good with nice increasing profit trend though cash flow is a problem, in at 9.55
Chance favors the prepared mind

nica33

Keep it simple !!

mbaugh


David Randolph

Quote from: nullzero on February 02, 2007, 09:49:27 AM
What you think of TGX

TGX was covered on Wednesday nullzero. Here's what I said:

Quote from: nica33 on January 31, 2007, 11:16:57 AM
Hi David!  I'm not sure.  I guess you analyzed TGX.  Which is the link?

Thanks!

TGX, what a run, certainly on fire

Some fundamental considerations:

- Market cap of $150 M, a Medical Appliances & Equipment company;
- Balance sheet: very strong !
- Revenue trend: positive and accelerating;
- EPS of $0.11 in Q4, going up from $0.05 in Q3. But that was because of a special tax gain of $1.8 M, otherwise EPS would have been $0.05, the same as in Q3.
- Annualize $0.05 EPS and get EPS of $0.20 for a full year. PER is about 24, and the industry average is 38.

TGX looks undervalued here, it can go up 60 or 70% more just to be valued in line with its industry.