3SOF

SIMO is doing great.  600 M market cap.  I know it's more than your limit, but I think it's interesting!!

Quote from: la-onda on February 02, 2007, 09:53:05 AM
David, please check RFSS!
thanks in advance
O.

Are you sure that's the symbol la-onda? The stock doesn't seem to exist.

Thanks

apologize it is RSFF

Quote from: David Randolph on February 02, 2007, 11:05:37 AM

Quote from: la-onda on February 02, 2007, 09:53:05 AM
David, please check RFSS!
thanks in advance
O.

Are you sure that's the symbol la-onda? The stock doesn't seem to exist.

Thanks

How come SILC isn't in the main portfolio? It seems like the growth in that industry long term is something the main portfolio should own. Not to mention its extremly undervalued right now.

Quote from: 2bun on February 02, 2007, 09:53:54 AM
GM all,a lotta chatter around about HRBN. Some people saying it's potentially a 20 dollar stock. It's now about 12.70,could you take a look at it David?Just moved to Nas the other day.

Potentially a $20 stock? Recently moved to the Nasdaq? That might explain the recent increase in volume, the stock almost had no volume until 2007 began.

Technically it has a resistance at its all time high of $13.48. Not on fire today, trading just 67,000 shares and below the open as I write, after a small gap up at the open.

Fundamentally:

- Market cap is $207 M ... develops, engineers, manufactures and sells a wide array of customized linear motors and other special motors
- Balance sheet is very strong with $61 M in cash
- Revenue trend is extremely positive. Revenues are growing 39% from 2005 levels
- Very profitable with a 43.6% net profit margin. Beating estimates by a wide margin, I expect EPS of $0.92 for the full fiscal 2006. That means the trailing earnings multiple is 13.4. If revenues grow 39% again in 2007 and the net profit margin is maintained at 43.6%, I see EPS of $1.4 for 2007, so the forward earnings multiple is about 9.

I don't know how they are able to be so profitable, but the fact is that they are. I think you're correct, I could easily see it as a $20 stock.

Not what I'm looking for the 3 Stocks on Fire Portfolio, but it looks like a sound long term investment. Good luck

Well David, your success at 3SoF is great but even greater is the main portfolio.

Now let me share a secret here. I tried on my own to trade but I found that it saner to follow someone with proven record then to feed on own's ego. So today I gave up and bought AMKR, ARRS, DIET, OFI, WCG, XING, ZQK, besides I was already holding ASPV and CPNE.

I know some of these will go down some will up but I will stick to your buy/hold/sells. Thank you.

In addition to the ADM request earlier, can you also take a look at ICE?

Quote from: lancefur on February 02, 2007, 11:37:43 AM
In addition to the ADM request earlier, can you also take a look at ICE?

Guess you didn't see David's request for stocks on fire and market cap less than 500 million.

Quote from: TraderStar on February 02, 2007, 10:00:40 AM
COGO .. a china play with sound fundamentals (or so I have heard....)

Technically COGO's chart is bullish on a long and medium term time frame. But not on fire today, as the stock is trading down 1.3% on the session on low volume.

Fundamentally:

- Market cap is $525 M, so above our maximum limit for the 3 Stocks on Fire Portfolio, as you can read on the FAQ. The Company and its subsidiaries provide customized module design solutions to various manufacturers in China.
- Balance sheet is healthy. Current ratio at 3.75, no long term debt, $33 M in cash
- Revenue growth is strong. Revenue estimates are for $165 M in 06 and $204 M in 07. Price to sales ratio is 3.33, the industry average is 1.17.
- Expected EPS of $0.52 for 06 and $0.68 for 07. So trailing earnings multiple is  31 and the forward multiple is 24.

COGO shows attractive fundamental trends, but that's already discounted by the share price. It's priced in. Any small disappointment and the stock will tank.

I consider it fully valued, thanks for the suggestion

Hi - Let's try not to waste David's time with stocks that are not within the scope of the portfolio.  ADM and ICE are both multi billion MC companies, and ADM for one, is definitely not on fire today.  I suggest we all reread the FAQ and suggest stocks that fit the criteria!

We're going for short term explosions here from small cap companies!

GLTA

Quote from: stocky on February 02, 2007, 11:28:49 AM
Well David, your success at 3SoF is great but even greater is the main portfolio.

Now let me share a secret here. I tried on my own to trade but I found that it saner to follow someone with proven record then to feed on own's ego. So today I gave up and bought AMKR, ARRS, DIET, OFI, WCG, XING, ZQK, besides I was already holding ASPV and CPNE.

I know some of these will go down some will up but I will stick to your buy/hold/sells. Thank you.

Great stocky You shouldn't have left SYX and MSI behind, the biggest gainers of the Main, they still have the biggest potential (I would put CPNE in that group too).

I believe the ones you got are very attractive too.

You know, my job at 3 stocks is to work all day to find the best picks and trading strategies for you. I have 11 years of intensive study of the stock market. I expect to deliver above average returns year after year after year, as I plan to work at 3 stocks for a very long time.

Thanks for your support stocky

Quote from: dnickers on February 02, 2007, 11:42:26 AM
Hi - Let's try not to waste David's time with stocks that are not within the scope of the portfolio.  ADM and ICE are both multi billion MC companies, and ADM for one, is definitely not on fire today.  I suggest we all reread the FAQ and suggest stocks that fit the criteria!

We're going for short term explosions here from small cap companies!

GLTA

You know you may be right but ADM was on fire yesterday and maybe by putting some of these stocks out here, they could be put to use in the main portfolio. ICE has more than doubled in 6 months with no signs on stopping and would be awesome for the main portfolio but it is also expensive too but he could just ignore it. I really don't care. Just takes seconds to ignore someones post and could have been just as easy for you to do the same. I have owned ICE since June 06 and I am not complaining in the least. Holding this sucker long term. If this hasn't been on fire, I don't know what has.

Quote from: stocky on February 02, 2007, 10:13:34 AM
LMRA on fire. Just dont bet too much on this, but its still one of the best one when it gets going.

LMRA is below the open now, so not on fire. It is a $74 M market cap company, for just $2.4 M in revenues for the past 4 quarters, and it lost $11.6 M over those 4 quarters.

It went up in just a couple of weeks and now is taking months to come back down, but I guess that, with time, it will be a less than $2 stock again.

Can be wrong, though, thanks for the suggestion

I agree David. Bought SYX and MSI, but sold ZQK. Can only hold 10 in the portfolio [since 10% each of my nano portfolio].

Quote from: wzhang on February 02, 2007, 10:21:59 AM
MY Zica is on fire now, one week +20% is enough, I don't care long term FA.

Good for you. I'm always happy when I'm wrong, if I don't lose money with it and others are able to make it

Here's my latest comment on ZICA:

«

Quote from: wzhang on January 31, 2007, 10:11:53 AM
Hi, David

Any comment on Zica, thanks

After a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement from its previous rally, ZICA is attempting to start a move to retest those highs at $2.85.

Let's see what fundamental analysis says about the stock:

- Technology company in the wireless space with $95 M of market cap;
- Balance sheet is weak with cash levels declining and a current ratio of just 1.4;
- Revenue trends don't show any growth;
- Losing about $2.8 M a quarter;
- The stock was up a lot in December 22 and 23, due to the following news:

• Zi Corporation Launches Qix with T-Mobile in the UK
Market Wire (Fri, Dec 22)

The press release doesn't provide any financial details. I don't think the news is enough to turn fundamental trends around, and ZICA will need to dilute shareholder's value due to short term liquidity problems (their cash on hand isn't enough to sustain the losses of just one quarter, so they will sell shares through a PIPE placement or in the open market).

Therefore, my outlook on ZICA is unfortunately negative.»