Your Stocks

[David Randolph]

Hello

Yesterday mbaugh brought our attention to SEED, BigSully1 bought it and the stock was up 82% on the session (counting with extended hours trading). I also think BigSully's suggestion of having, in this message board, a thread to discuss Chinese, Indian and other emerging market stocks traded in the US exchanges is a good idea. But, instead of just Chinese or Indian, why not all stocks that 3 SOF subscribers have an interest on?

So, I'll start this new thread for you to talk about your stocks, stocks that you own or have an interest on but are not Main Portfolio's holdings. Or stocks where you're making or losing a lot of money and would like to share the story. Or stocks that just took off, or just had some relevant news item. I think this could be useful for us to find attractive new picks, like mbaugh did.

This is different from the Analysis on Demand thread, where you're seeking for my analysis. I'll read all your posts, but I'll only write occasionally on this thread.

Now you have this place to write about Your Stocks, I hope you use it and enjoy it

[pinoleropuro]

good morning David!
I think this is an excellent idea.
here is my story on one. SHRP last year I bought half my position at 9.50/share it went up to around 11/share than it came back down to 10.25/share. I then bought the other half of my position. I have followed this chart for the past 11years. but don't miss understand I did not know 1/5 of what I have learned this year alone in your forum for which I am very greatful.
so I sold SHRP at just under 16/share.  I have always seen this stok do super excellent on the fourth quarter so that is the only time that I have bought it. I made such a bundle I bought a minivan cash. why a minivan well we are four and were already planning on having a third baby. I was elated about SHRP image well this year I tried to do the same thing but it did not do the usual run up on the fourh quarter so I sold it without a major gain.
I do wonder if SHRP now that it has gone to under 4/share if it would come back to at least around 10/share this next spring.
any thoughts any one?
Thanks.

[realcoolhead]

David, just want to drop a note after reading your "story": enjoy the day off and take good care of your wife and kids. After all, they are the most important in your life, everything else, money, car, house ... they are just materials  .

Also like to thank you again for the wonderful job you have done!

[kslifka]

After watching SEED go up all day yesterday,  I was looking to get into FEED.

But Ameritrade wouldn't let me buy into FEED.  Anyone else have this problem with FEED

FEED's up 28% pre-market

[soxguy]

David, sorry to hear about your misfortune earlier. Just remember,this too shall pass. As long as you are all safe and sound,that's the important thing.

[jorgegr]

David, regret your experience but admire your intuition and I'm very glad
your family is safe - that's the most important part of the story.

On the other hand we just discovered how you choose your stocks while
you tell us all about fundamentals and a piece of technicals

Cheer up we all live in a troubled world mixing crime, terror & drugs which
has left us without a safe haven even in small villages.

Have to live with that. 

Solve your personal problems, love your family and get back to work, which
we all appreciate it.  Lets hope you have no further nightmares, but a lot of
good intuitions to find outstanding fundamentals 

Big hug for you & kids from this southern part of the world. Dare not send same to your wife
but shake her hand on my behalf. LOL 

[Houlahan]

Dear brothers & sisters,
Here is a stock that has been good to me. It has big swings. It is a great company. Closed a little high today, maybe wait for a pullback.

DRYS
Business Description:    DryShips, Inc. engages in the ownership and operation of drybulk carriers worldwide. The company's fleet carries various drybulk commodities, including coal, iron ore, and grains, bauxite, phosphate, fertilizers, and steel products.
Industry:    Shipping
Economic Sector:    Transportation
Address:    80 Kifissias Avenue, Amaroussion 15125 Athens, Greece

Have fun and happy trading.

Others in this sector that are good too. EXM, DSX, PRGN

[buddjas1]

I picked up some shares of GEOI today.

http://biz.yahoo.com/prnews/071018/aqth037.html?.v=34

"This acquisition is immediately accretive and doubles the size of the Company in terms of reserves, production, revenues and cash flow. Importantly, it can be operated without additional staffing. Further, the acquisition has been financed entirely with reasonable levels of senior secured debt under our increased Facility, at favorable interest rates. We have also entered into commodity price hedges to take advantage of high oil prices and to negotiate favorable financing terms. We expect to sell or trade certain properties to reduce debt, streamline operations and to focus our personnel on the upside in our portfolio and generate additional opportunities for growth."

Chart is bullish as can be.

Don't let the last 10Q's EPS fool you.  The number was drastically effected by a one-time take over of income tax (from a merger) and one-time G&A fees from the merger.

I see an easy double, short term.

[BigSully1]

Has anyone checked out this red-hot IPO? VMW

VMware, Inc.
3401 Hillview Avenue
Palo Alto, CA 94304
United States - Map
Phone: 650-475-5000
Fax: 650-475-5005
Web Site: http://www.vmware.com

DETAILS   
Index Membership: N/A
Sector: Technology
Industry: Business Software & Services
Full Time Employees: 3,000


BUSINESS SUMMARY   
VMware, Inc. and its subsidiaries provide virtualization solutions worldwide. Its virtualization solutions separate the operating system and application software from the underlying hardware to achieve improvements in efficiency, availability, flexibility, and manageability. The company's solutions enable organizations to aggregate multiple servers, storage infrastructure, and networks together into shared pools of capacity that can be allocated to applications as needed. It offers a portfolio of products that spans the consumer desktop to enterprise data center, including virtualization platforms, virtual infrastructure automation, and virtual infrastructure management. The company's virtualization platforms include a hypervisor for system partitioning that provides the capability to run multiple operating systems simultaneously on the same physical machine. Its platforms include entry-level products for the desktop and server, and desktop and server platforms. The company's virtual infrastructure automation products utilize its virtualization platforms to automate system infrastructure services, such as resource management, availability, mobility, and security. These products improve the runtime availability and reliability of the virtual machines. Its virtual infrastructure management products automate the interaction between various information technology (IT) constituencies and the virtual infrastructure for a specific set of point solutions. These solutions range from capacity sizing and assessment to development lab management. VMware's suite of virtualization solutions addresses a range of complex IT problems, including infrastructure optimization, business continuity, software lifecycle management, and desktop management. VMware, Inc. was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Palo Alto, California. VMware, Inc. is a subsidiary of EMC Corp.

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=VMW&p=D&b=5&g=0&id=p96203656555

Hugely overvalued? or not?.  CSCO, INTC and even Fidelity have huge stakes in this IPO. Kinda wish David would take a look, if for nothing else, the very interesting technology.

[Houlahan]

Hey BigSully1,
I guess you know they reported after the bell today.

Here is a small piece of report.

"VMware Inc. on Wednesday posted a third-quarter profit that more than tripled from a year ago as the virtualization technology developer delivered its first earnings report since becoming a publicly traded company in August."

EMC reports before the bell Thursday, Oct. 25th.
I think EMC will pop the same. Just my guess. A lot of talk about EMC. I do not own EMC or VMW.

I hope you held shares and enjoyed the pop today! Good pick.

[BigSully1]

Hello Houlihan!

I don't have any VMW. Just thought it a really interesting IPO screamer. Even with the big beat, I'm not  convinced it can continue to support that kind of valuation though. What does everyone else think?

[BigSully1]

Here's one that I do own and would really like David to take a look, he might even be very interested. . Axsys Technologies - AXYS. I started a thread on it awhile back , but  it doesn't  seem to generate any interest there. I had a question about a cup n handle that never got answered there, maybe someone here can answer it.

http://www.3stocksonfire.org/trading/index.php?topic=10317.0

I think this latest ER (after the close today) should be more than enough to propel the stock past the late 2000 and alltime high. (It's already very close anyway.)

Axsys Technologies Announces 34 Percent Revenue Growth and 54 Percent Net Income Growth in Third Quarter
Wednesday October 24, 4:10 pm ET
Company Increases 2007 Guidance and Establishes 2008 Guidance


ROCKY HILL, Conn., Oct. 24, 2007 (PRIME NEWSWIRE) -- Axsys Technologies, Inc. (NasdaqGS:AXYS - News), a global leader in the design and development of high-performance surveillance cameras, imaging systems and related motion control technologies, today announced financial results for the quarter ended September 29, 2007.
ADVERTISEMENT


During the third quarter, Axsys generated revenues of $45.2 million, compared to $33.6 million in the third quarter of 2006. Net income was $4.1 million or $0.37 per diluted share on a consolidated basis, up from $2.7 million or $0.25 per diluted share in the third quarter of 2006.

Previously, the company announced its intention to sell the Distributed Products Group, and consequently this business has been reclassified as a discontinued operation in the third quarter and prior periods. The discontinued operations contributed income of $0.4 million, or $0.03 diluted earnings per share in the third quarter, compared to $0.2 million, or $0.02 per share in the third quarter of 2006.

Third Quarter Financial Highlights from Continuing Operations

Period comparisons reference fiscal third quarter 2006.



* Sales increased 34% to a record $45.2 million;
* Gross margin improved to 32.4% from 31.5%;
* Operating margin improved to 13.5% from 11.7%;
* Income increased 52% to $3.8 million;
* Diluted earnings per share increased to $0.34 from $0.23;
* Backlog increased to a record $138 million, representing a 38%
   increase compared to the end of the third quarter of 2006, and a
   9% increase over the previous quarter.

The company continued to experience strong demand for surveillance cameras, lenses, and stabilized gimbal systems. Cineflex Camera Systems, purchased in April 2007, generated revenues of $6.5 million during the third quarter.

``Axsys' impressive growth is an indication of our company's increasingly enviable market position,'' said Stephen W. Bershad, Chairman and CEO of Axsys Technologies. ``The sales from our newly acquired stabilized camera systems business exceeded expectations, and the rest of our Optical Systems Group achieved 15% revenue growth during the quarter. Importantly, our order backlog also continued a strong upward trend with the addition of $57 million in new bookings during the quarter. With this added visibility, we are comfortable increasing our 2007 financial guidance.''

Fiscal 2007 Earnings Guidance Revision

Axsys increased its full-year 2007 guidance for continuing operations as follows:



* Sales are expected to be in the range of $168 million to $171
   million, up from the $159 million to $163 million range previously
   provided.
* Income is expected to be in the range of $13.7 million to $13.9
   million, up from the previous guidance of $12.5 million to $12.8
   million.
* Diluted earnings per share are expected to be in the range of $1.24
   to $1.26, up from the previous guidance of $1.13 to $1.16.

Mr. Bershad continued, ``We are witnessing an increased demand for our products that we believe will be sustained in the coming year. Our escalating booking and shipment rates, clear indicators of this trend, instill optimism about 2008.''

Fiscal 2008 Earnings Guidance

The company announced guidance for continuing operations for full-year 2008:



* Sales are expected to be in the range of $193 million to $197
   million.
* Diluted earnings per share are expected to be between $1.57 and
   $1.60.

Conference Call

Management will conduct a conference call reviewing the financial results on Thursday, October 25, 2007 at 11:00 a.m. Eastern Time. Shareholders, institutional investors and equity research analysts are invited to participate in the call by dialing 1-866-872-5036 and providing the operator with the conference ID# 19290080 to enter the call.

The conference call will be webcast live via the Investor Relations section of the Company's web site at http://www.axsys.com. A replay of the webcast will be available shortly after the conclusion of the call for a period of approximately 90 days.

About Axsys

Axsys Technologies, Inc. is a global leader in the design and development of high-performance surveillance cameras, imaging systems and related motion control technologies, serving the aerospace, defense, and high performance commercial markets. For more information, visit http://www.axsys.com.

This press release contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. One can identify these forward-looking statements by the use of the words such as ``expect,'' ``anticipate,'' ``plan,'' ``may,'' ``will,'' ``estimate'' or other similar expressions. Because such statements apply to future events, they are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause the actual results to differ materially. Important factors, which could cause actual results to differ materially, are described in Axsys' reports on Form 10-K and Form 10-Q on file with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including without limitation: changes in the U.S. federal government spending priorities; the Company's ability to compete in the industries in which it operates, including the introduction of competing products or technologies by other companies and/or pricing pressures from competitors and/or customers; the potential for the Company's backlog to be reduced or cancelled; the Company's ability to implement its acquisition strategy and integrate its acquired companies successfully, including the recent acquisition of Cineflex; the Company's ability to successfully complete the planned sale of the Distributed Products business; the Company's ability to manage costs under the Company's fixed-price contracts effectively; and changes in general economic and business conditions. These statements reflect the Company's current beliefs and are based upon information currently available to the Company. Be advised that developments subsequent to this release are likely to cause these statements to become outdated with the passage of time, and we specifically disclaim any obligation to update these statements.


                        AXSYS TECHNOLOGIES, INC.
                  Consolidated Statements of Operations
   (Dollars in thousands, except share and per share data - Unaudited)


                 For the Three Months Ended  For the Nine Months Ended
                 --------------------------  --------------------------
                 September 29, September 30, September 29, September 30,
                     2007           2006          2007          2006
                 ------------  ------------  ------------  ------------

Sales           $     45,218  $     33,640  $    123,712  $     96,170
Cost of sales         30,560        23,054        83,910        65,534
                 ------------  ------------  ------------  ------------
Gross profit          14,658        10,586        39,802        30,636

Selling,
  general and
  administrative
  expenses              7,131         5,399        18,720        16,266
Research,
  development
  and
  engineering
  expenses              1,436         1,261         4,383         3,380
                 ------------  ------------  ------------  ------------
Operating
  income                6,091         3,926        16,699        10,990
Interest
  expense                (191)          (10)         (463)          (72)
Interest
  income                   55            70           174           221
Other income
  (expense), net           17            (7)         (235)           25
                 ------------  ------------  ------------  ------------
                        5,972         3,979        16,175        11,164
Income from
  continuing
  operations
  before income
  taxes
Provision for
  income taxes          2,216         1,510         6,135         4,235
                 ------------  ------------  ------------  ------------
Income from
  continuing
  operations            3,756         2,469        10,040         6,929
Income from
  discontinued
  operations,
  net of tax              383           225           929           768
                 ------------  ------------  ------------  ------------
Net income      $      4,139  $      2,694  $     10,969  $      7,697
                 ============  ============  ============  ============

BASIC EARNINGS
  PER SHARE:
   Continuing
    operations   $       0.35  $       0.23  $       0.94  $       0.65
   Discontinued
    operations           0.04          0.02          0.09          0.07
                 ------------  ------------  ------------  ------------
   Total         $       0.39  $       0.25  $       1.03  $       0.72
                 ============  ============  ============  ============
Weighted-
  average basic
  common shares
  outstanding      10,722,393    10,630,136    10,688,869    10,625,153
DILUTED         
  EARNINGS       
  PER SHARE:     
Continuing       
  operations     $       0.34  $       0.23  $       0.91  $       0.64
Discontinued     
  operations             0.03          0.02          0.08          0.07
                 ------------  ------------  ------------  ------------
Total           $       0.37  $       0.25  $       0.99  $       0.71
                 ============  ============  ============  ============
Weighted-         
  average         
  diluted       
  common       
  shares       
  outstanding      11,140,374    10,883,385    11,031,234    10,877,734
               

                        AXSYS TECHNOLOGIES, INC.
                       Consolidated Balance Sheets
                         (Dollars in thousands)

                                             September 29, December 31,
                                                 2007          2006
                                              (Unaudited)    (Audited)
                                             ------------  ------------
ASSETS                                         
CURRENT ASSETS:                                 
   Cash and cash equivalents                   $   5,176      $   6,044
   Accounts receivable - net                      20,270         17,298
   Inventories - net                              48,718         35,853
   Assets held-for-sale                           14,416         15,764
   Income taxes - deferred                         3,556          2,405
   Prepaid expenses                                  941            829
   Other current assets                              379            368
                                             ------------  ------------
      TOTAL CURRENT ASSETS                        93,456         78,561
PROPERTY, PLANT AND EQUIPMENT - net              16,230         22,393
INTANGIBLE ASSETS - net                          12,588          9,507
GOODWILL                                         82,649         60,791
OTHER ASSETS                                      1,574          1,093
                                             ------------  ------------
      TOTAL ASSETS                             $ 206,497      $ 172,345
                                             ============  ============
                                                             
LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY                       
                                                             
CURRENT LIABILITIES:                                       
   Line of credit                              $  10,000      $      --
   Accounts payable                               11,307          7,550
   Accrued expenses and other current                       
    liabilities                                   20,978         18,218
   Liabilities held-for-sale                       2,648          3,430
   Deferred income                                10,064          6,088
                                             ------------  ------------
      TOTAL CURRENT LIABILITIES                   54,997         35,286
                                                             
OTHER LONG-TERM LIABILITIES                       8,243          5,871
                                                             
SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY:                                       
   Common stock                                      107            106
   Capital in excess of par                      101,143         99,111
   Retained earnings                              42,007         31,977
   Treasury stock                                     --             (6)
                                             ------------  ------------
      TOTAL SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY                 143,257        131,188
                                             ------------  ------------
      TOTAL LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS'                   
       EQUITY                                  $ 206,497      $ 172,345
                                             ============  ============



Contact:
          Axsys Technologies, Inc.
          David A. Almeida, Chief Financial Officer
            (860) 257-0200
          Geoffrey Ling, Director of Investor Relations
            (860) 594-5773
          [email protected]

[BigSully1]

Here's some others that I'm looking at now with interest. All had ER's today. DAIO, EXTR, PNSN, CYBE.

[Houlahan]

I love this sector. Defense and homeland security are not going away. I like that they have expanded overseas in Europe.

AXYS engages in the design and manufacture of precision optical solutions for defense, aerospace, homeland security, and commercial applications primarily in the United States and Europe.

I like NICE too.

NICE-Systems, Ltd. engages in the development, marketing, and support of integrated scalable multimedia digital recording platforms, enhanced software applications, and related professional services. They are in many airports in the US. They are located in Israel.
Revenues have been growing. EPS is increasing. They have ZERO debt. Wish I could say the same! hehe It looks like AXYS is about the same as NICE. Growing revenues, increasing EPS and NO Debt.  Well, that was a quick glance. That would be great if David took a look at AXYS. 
Thanks for sharing.

[BigSully1]

I have many stocks in the sector. AXYS hit a record high, but showing some resistance at the $34.00 area (2000) high.