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TKC

Started by BigSully1, November 16, 2007, 02:11:31 PM

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BigSully1

TKC - Turkcell has 35M subscribers in Turkey and the Ukraine and growing. A large cap Co. in Turkey.  :o This is another one that has mostly defied the market correction and a silly analcyst downgrade on top of it.

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=TKC&p=D&b=5&g=0&id=p59191861522

Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri AS
Turkcell Plaza
Me?rutiyet Cad No 71
Istanbul,  34430
Turkey - Map
Phone: 90 212 313 10 00
Fax: 90 212 292 53 90
Web Site: http://www.turkcell.com.tr

DETAILS  
Index Membership: N/A
Sector: Technology
Industry: Wireless Communications
Full Time Employees: NaN


BUSINESS SUMMARY  
Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri AS and its subsidiaries engage in the establishment and operation of Global System for Mobile Communications network, primarily in Turkey. It offers wireless telephone services, such as general packet radio service and enhanced data rates for GSM evolution, which provides data and voice services. The company offers telecommunication; messaging of data transfer, mobile payment; entertainment, including news and sports; music to chat and messaging; Internet access, providing single point of communication and access to information; email services; and support services, offering products and services using the design possibilities by GSM infrastructure. As of December 31, 2006 it served 31.8 million post-paid and pre-paid customers. The company was found in 1993 and is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey. Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri A.S. is a subsidiary of Turkcell Holding A.S.
________________________________________________________________

Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri A.S. Reports Results for the Third Quarter 2007
Wednesday November 7, 4:05 pm ET


ISTANBUL, Turkey, November 7 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- Turkcell (NYSE:TKC, ISE:TCELL), the leading provider of mobile communications services in Turkey, today announced results for the third quarter, ended September 30, 2007. All financial results in this press release are unaudited, prepared in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards ("IFRS") and expressed in US$ (1)
ADVERTISEMENT


Highlights of the Third Quarter 2007

- Revenue increased by 44% to US$1.7 billion (US$1.2 billion)

- EBITDA* increased by 62% on an annual basis to US$771.5 million (US$ 477.1 million)

- Recorded net income of US$401.2 million (US$311.8 million)

- Turkcell's subscriber base grew by 13% on an annual basis to 34.8 million (30.8 million) as of September 30, 2007

- Average revenue per user ("ARPU") grew by 26% on an annual basis to US$15.3 (US$12.1)

- Turkcell recorded blended minutes of usage per subscriber ("MoU") of 83 minutes (82 minutes) in the the third quarter of 2007

- Astelit, Turkcell's Ukrainian subsidiary, recorded positive EBITDA* of US$2.9 million for the first time since it started its operations

*EBITDA is a non-GAAP financial measure. See pages 10-11 for the reconciliation of EBITDA to net cash from operating activities.

à In this press release, a year on year comparison of our key indicators is provided and figures in parentheses following the operational and financial results for the third quarter 2007 refer to the same item in the third quarter of 2006. For further details, please refer to our consolidated financial statements and notes as at and for the period ended September 30, 2007 which can be accessed via our web site in the investor relations section (http://www.turkcell.com.tr).

Comments from the CEO, Sureyya Ciliv

"We are happy to deliver another quarter of solid results as a consequence of our strong execution, as top line and EBITDA growth once again accelerated. Our revenue increased by 44%, EBITDA increased 62% on an annual basis and net income margin of 23% was achieved. We are also very pleased to report that our Ukrainian operation also achieved an important milestone by reporting positive EBITDA for the first time in the third quarter of 2007, ahead of plans.

In Turkey, we recorded strong subscriber growth as well as usage while successfully maintaining our overall leading position in our market, which we believe is a clear reflection as to how our customers value our brand name, quality infrastructure and better products and services. We continued to communicate our competitive advantages while introducing a number of initiatives to drive customer loyalty and satisfaction to ensure growth during the quarter, which resulted very positively for us. Our commitment for investments in communications and technology areas will continue while our intention to explore international markets remain as one of our key priority in 2008, in order to maximize value for our shareholders.

I thank again to all the Turkcell employees and business partners for their continued hard work during this period.''

OVERVIEW OF THE THIRD QUARTER

The third quarter of 2007 was marked by two local elections and turmoil in the global financial markets. Meanwhile, Turkey remained quite resilient and consumer sentiment in the Turkish market remained relatively positive.

Despite the active competitive environment during the period, we recorded strong growth in our subscriber base while solid usage levels were sustained and we maintained our leading position in the Turkish GSM market. We maintained our focus on customer satisfaction with a number of initatives which have been well received by our customers. These initiatives coupled with the effective communication of our value propositions, have paved the way to our continued leadership in the Turkish GSM market.

We face an increasingly dynamic operating environment where our competitors' aggressive subscriber acquisition initiatives and campaigns to manage price perception continue. During the period, in support of our value focus, we introduced offers to maintain high usage levels, higher ARPU's and attract and retain value customers. Furthermore, in line with our customer satisfaction focus, we launched a new pricing scheme in October to meet the expectations of our customers. We created five main tariff packages so subscribers can easily pick the plan that best suits their needs.

In addition to strengthening our pricing offering, we continued to focus on providing the best quality service and coverage in voice and data, investing US$267 million in our network in Turkey during the first nine months of 2007. We maintained our leadership in terms of breadth, usage and quality of services through our portfolio of Value Added Services and sustained a solid contribution to our top line with revenue from these services contributing 11% of our total net revenue in the third quarter of 2007.

Financial and Operational Review of Third Quarter 2007

The following discussion focuses principally on the developments and trends in our business in the third quarter of 2007. Selected financial information for the third quarter of 2006, second quarter of 2007 and third quarter of 2007 is also included at the end of this press release.


   Macro environment Information


                       Q3 2006       Q2     Q3    Q3 2007   Q3 2007-Q2
                                                 -Q3 2006   2007 % Chg
                                   2007   2007     % Chg


   TRY / US$ rate
   Closing Rate         1.4971   1.3046  1.2048   (19.5%)      (7.6%)
   Average Rate         1.5045   1.3317  1.2932   (14.0%)      (2.9%)
   INFLATION
   Consumer Price Index   1.69%    1.47%   0.31%      -           -
   Producer Price Index  (0.12%)   1.09%   1.94%      -           -


Post-election optimism in the Turkish financial markets was interrupted by the global economic turmoil in late July and early August. Change in the global risk appetite resulted in volatility in the exchange rate of TRY against US$ and some changes in the credit environments. However, Turkey proved quite resilient and consumer sentiment remained relatively positive. In line with current trends, we have further revised our TRY against US$ exchange rate expectations for the 2007 year end from a closing rate of 1.45 to 1.24.


   Our results of operations and business and financial performance are
affected by the macro economic environment, developments in the geopolitical
environment, the competitive environment and the dynamics of consumer
confidence in Turkey. Therefore, we will continue to monitor the developments
in these areas closely.

   Financial Review

   Profit & Loss Statement      Q3       Q2       Q3   Q3 2007       Q3
                                                      -Q3 2006  2007-Q2
   (million US$)              2006     2007     2007               2007
                                                         % Chg
                                                                  % Chg

   Total revenue           1,199.4  1,503.5  1,722.8     43.6%    14.6%
   Direct cost of revenue   (651.5)  (768.4)  (799.9)    22.8%     4.1%
   Depreciation and         (182.0)  (197.9)  (202.2)    11.1%     2.2%
   amortization
   Administrative expenses  (40.2)    (54.4)   (56.9)    41.5%     4.6%
   Selling and marketing    (212.7)  (281.6)  (296.9)    39.6%     5.4%
   expenses

   EBITDA                    477.1    596.9    771.5     61.7%     29.3%
   EBITDA Margin                40%      40%      45%     5.0 p.p.  5.0 p.p.

   Net finance income /       83.3   (110.2)  (147.2)  (276.7%)    33.6%
   (expense)
   Finance expense            42.8   (163.5)  (230.7)  (639.0%)    41.1%
   Finance income             40.5     53.3     83.5    106.2%     56.7%
   Share of profit of         26.5      8.4     17.2    (35.1%)   104.8%
   equity accounted
   investees
   Income tax expense       (108.9)   (46.4)   (50.2)   (53.9%)     8.2%
   Net income                311.8    273.6    401.2     28.7%     46.6%


Revenue: Our consolidated revenue grew by 43.6% to US$1,722.8 million in the third quarter of 2007 compared to the same period last year. This mainly stemmed from strong usage and subscriber growth, appreciation of TRY against US$ combined with the upward price adjustments of 11% on an annual basis and the impact of our consolidated subsidiaries.

In 2007, we expect revenue growth of nearly 30% on the back of growth in our subscriber base, usage trends and the revised TRY against US$ exchange rate expectations.

In 2008, we expect double digit revenue growth as measured in TRY on the back of continued growth in our subscriber base, and usage trends.

Direct cost of revenue: Although direct cost of revenue including depreciation and amortization increased year on year by 22.8% to US$799.9 million, the proportion of direct cost of revenue to total revenue improved to 46% from 54% compared to the same period in 2006. This improvement was mainly due to the decrease in the percentage of depreciation and amortization as a percentage revenue, lower treasury share payments and lower non-revenue based operational expenses such as network maintenance, radio and transmission costs, which did not increase paralel to the revenue.

Depreciation and amortization increased to US$202.2 million in the third quarter of 2007 compared to US$182.0 million in the third quarter of 2006 mainly due to the appreciation of TRY against US$.

Interconnection costs also increased year on year by 33.0% to US$108.0 million while the percentage of interconnection costs as a percentage of revenue improved slightly.

Selling and marketing expenses: The share of selling and marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue in the third quarter of 2007 decreased slightly to 17% compared to same period in 2006. Selling and marketing expenses increased in nominal terms by 39.6% year on year, reaching US$296.9 million in the third quarter of 2007 mainly due to increased advertising and acquisition expenses as well as retention related campaign costs in an active competitive environment. The appreciation of TRY against US$ also contributed to the increase in expenses during the quarter

Administrative expenses: During the third quarter of 2007, administrative expenses as a proportion of revenue remained stable at 3% while administrative expenses increased to US$56.9 million.

Share of profit of equity accounted investees: In the third quarter of 2007, our equity in net income of unconsolidated investees that consisted of the net income/(expense) impact of Fintur and A-Tel decreased to US$17.2 million compared to US$26.5 million in the third quarter of 2006.

Our 50% owned subsidiary A-Tel, impact two items in our financial statements. A-Tel's revenue that are generated from Turkcell are netted from the selling and marketing expenses in our consolidated financial statements. The difference between the total net impact of A-Tel and the amount netted from selling and marketing expenses is recorded in the share of profit of equity accounted investees line of our financial statements.

Net finance income/(expense): In the third quarter of 2007, as a result of our increasing cash balance, finance income increased compared to the same quarter of last year to US$83.5 million. On the other hand, our finance expenses increased to US$230.7 million mainly due to foreign exchange losses of US$205.1 million resulting from the appreciation of TRY against US$ during the third quarter of 2007.

Foreign exchange losses can be classified into two main categories; first being realized losses incurred on structured forward contracts that matured in the third quarter of 2007 amounting to US$39 million, and the second being accrued losses; mainly related to translation losses on foreign currency long position, and transaction losses accrued from structured forward contracts that may be realized in the rest of 2007, depending on currency fluctuation, amounting to US$100 million, and US$66 million respectively.

Overall, our net finance expense was US$147.2 million in the third quarter of 2007 compared to US$83.3 million net finance income in the corresponding period last year.

Income tax expense: The total taxation charge in the third quarter of 2007 decreased from US$108.9 million in the third quarter of 2006 to US$50.2 million.


   Out of the total tax charge during the third quarter of 2007, US$104.2
million was related to current tax charges and a deferred tax income of
US$54.0 million was realized during the quarter. The increase in the deferred
tax income was mainly due to the differences between our Turkish statutory
financial statements and our financial statements prepared in accordance with
IFRS.

   Income tax expense         Q3      Q2      Q3   Q3 2007  Q3 2007-

   (million US$)            2006    2007    2007  -Q3 2006  Q2 2007

                                                     % Chg    % Chg

   Current Tax expense     (92.2)  (79.4) (104.2)     13.0%    31.2%
   Deferred Tax income     (16.7)   33.0    54.0    (423.4%)   63.6%
   /(expense)
   Income Tax expense     (108.9)  (46.4)  (50.2)    (53.9%)    8.2%


EBITDA: In the third quarter of 2007, EBITDA increased by 61.7% year on year to US$771.5 million mainly due to the increase in revenue with costs decreasing as a percentage of revenue. Accordingly, EBITDA margin during the same period improved to 45% from 40% in the third quarter of 2006. Given current trends and assumptions, we believe an EBITDA margin of 40% is achievable for the full year 2007.

In 2008, we expect EBITDA margin to be a few points lower than 2007.

Net income: We recorded net income of US$401.2 million in the third quarter of 2007. The year on year increase of 28.7% was mainly due to our improving operational performance and decrease in taxation charge despite the foreign exchange losses due to the appreciation of TRY against US$ in the third quarter of 2007.

Total Debt: Our consolidated debt amounted to US$739.9 million as of September 30, 2007. US$527.6 million of this was related to our Ukrainian operations.


   Consolidated Cash Flow              Q3      Q2       Q3

   (million US$)                     2006    2007     2007

   EBITDA                           477.1   596.9    771.5
   LESS:
   Capex and License               (176.2) (190.7)  (188.1)
   Turkcell                        (139.1)  (94.6)  (130.3)
   Ukraine                          (27.3)  (53.0)   (26.1)
   Investment & Marketable         (189.9)      -     10.4
   Securities
   Net Interest Income               30.6    29.6     57.9
   Other                            244.3  (282.5)   151.9
   Net Change in Debt               (30.3)   68.4     38.4
   Turkcell                         (27.4)      -        -
   Ukraine                              -       -     21.3*
   Dividend paid by Turkcell            -  (411.9)       -
   Cash Generated                   355.6  (190.2)   842.0
   Cash Balance                     985.1 1,672.5  2,514.5



(*)This financing has been drawn down by Financell B.V., a wholly owned subsidiary of Turkcell,

in July and has been provided to Astelit.

Cash Flow Analysis: Capital expenditures in the third quarter of 2007 amounted to US$188.1 million of which US$26.1 million was related to our Ukrainian operations.

In 2008, we expect to spend approximately US$800 million in operational capital expenditure in Turkey, which includes some 3G and broadband capital expenditures but excludes any potential 3G license fee. In addition, our consolidated subsidiary Astelit expects to spend approximately US$250 million in capital expenditure in Ukraine.


   Operational Review


   Summary of                  Q3   Q2    Q3  Q3 2007  Q3 2007
                                                      -Q2 2007
   Operational Data          2006 2007  2007 -Q3 2006
                                                         % Chg
                                                % Chg

   Number of total          30.8  33.8  34.8    13.0%     3.0%
   subscribers (million)
   Number of postpaid        5.7   6.1   6.3    10.5%     3.3%
   subscribers

   (million)
   Number of prepaid        25.1  27.7  28.5    13.5%     2.9%
   subscribers

   (million)

   ARPU (Average Monthly    12.1  14.1  15.3    26.4%     8.5%
   Revenue per User),
   blended (US$)
   ARPU, postpaid (US$)     30.3  38.2  39.5    30.4%     3.4%
   ARPU, prepaid (US$)       8.0   8.8  10.0    25.0%    13.6%

   ARPU, blended (TRY)      18.3  18.8  19.8     8.2%     5.3%
   ARPU, postpaid (TRY)     45.7  50.9  51.1    11.8%     0.4%
   ARPU, prepaid (TRY)      12.0  11.7  13.0     8.3%    11.1%

   Churn (%)                 4.1   4.7   5.7     1.6 p.p. 1.0 p.p.

   MOU (Average Monthly     81.8  89.4  83.0     1.5%    (7.2%)
   Minutes of usage per
   subscriber), blended


Subscribers: Our strong growth in our subscriber base continued and we added one million net new subscribers in the third quarter of 2007. The subscriber base grew by 13% on an annual basis and reached 34.8 million as of September 30, 2007 as a result of our focus on the distribution channel network and our well perceived offers and campaigns. Our value focus continued and we recorded a favorable growth in our subscriber base supported by our postpaid customer focus. Of the new gross subscribers in the quarter, 89% were prepaid and 11% were postpaid.

The net additions decreased from 1.5 million in the second quarter of 2007 to 1 million in the third quarter of 2007. This was in line with our value focus and mainly due to the involuntary churn of low ARPU generating prepaid subscribers gained through acquisition campaigns in previous quarters.

We expect penetration in Turkish GSM market to reach near 85% by the end of 2007 and we expect our subscriber base to grow approximately 12% on annual basis in 2007.

During 2008, we anticipate growth in the Turkish GSM market to continue and expect penetration to near 95% by the end of the year. We also expect our subscriber base to continue to grow although at a slower pace compared to 2007.

Churn Rate: Churn refers to voluntarily and involuntarily disconnected subscribers. In the third quarter of 2007, we recorded a churn rate of 5.7%, an increase of 1.6 percentage points compared to the same period in 2006, mainly due to prepaid involuntary churn triggered by high subscriber acquisitions in previous quarters. The churners were mainly low ARPU generating prepaid subscribers, with relatively less churn in higher ARPU segments.

In 2008, we expect churn rate to be a few percentage points higher than 2007 under the assumption that Mobile Number Portability ("MNP") will be implemented during the second half of 2008.

MoU: In the third quarter of 2007, we recorded strong blended minutes of usage per subscriber ("MoU") of 83.0 minutes. Strong usage behavior continued in the third quarter of 2007 despite the major reduction of incentives in the Pomegranade Campaign introduced in the second quarter of 2007 and lower usage during the Ramadan period. Our initiatives are aimed at creating a win-win situation by incentivising usage through bundled free service offers while maintaining a value generation focus

In 2008, we expect usage to increase as our incentives and loyalty programmes will continue.

ARPU: Our blended average revenue per user ("ARPU") grew by 26.4% to US$15.3 compared to the third quarter in 2006. This change was mainly due to the 14% appreciation of TRY against US$ combined with the average price increase of 11% on an annual basis despite the dilutive impact of growing prepaid subscriber base during this period.

Our ARPU in TRY terms grew by 8.2% to TRY19.8 in the third quarter of 2007 from TRY18.3 in the third quarter of 2006.

In 2008, we expect to see increase in ARPU in TRY terms despite the dilutive impact of prepaid subscribers.

Regulatory Environment

During the quarter, the tender for granting the 3G licenses in Turkey that took place on September 7, 2007 was cancelled. Although there has been no official declaration regarding the timing of any new tender for granting the 3G licenses, we expect the 3G licensing in Turkey to take place in 2008. We look forward to the implementation of 3G in Turkey. The progress on the MNP continues and our base assumption for the implementation of MNP is that it will take place in the second half of 2008.

Furthermore on the regulation front, the Telecommunications Authority ("TA") notified us about certain new measures to set minimum and maximum pricing. The TA's intention with these new measures is to set minimum rates for on-net and maximum rates for off-net calling prices. Currently, we believe we are generally in compliance with regulatory requirements. However, we are in the process of evaluating the TA's new measures and if we determine that we are required to take any steps to revise our pricing policy on some of our tariff plans in order to comply with the TA's new measures, such steps may have an adverse effect on our results of operations.

International Operations

Fintur

We hold a 41.45% stake in Fintur and through Fintur we hold interests in GSM operations in Kazakhstan, Azerbaijan, Moldova, and Georgia.


   FINTUR                   Subscriber     Revenue

   as of September 30, 2007   (million)       (US$
                                           million)

   Kazakhstan                      5.4         225
   Azerbaijan                      2.8         124
   Moldova                         0.5          14
   Georgia                         1.2          47
   TOTAL                           9.9         410*

(*) Combined revenue

Strong revenue growth in Fintur's operations continued and Fintur's consolidated revenue reached US$411.3 million in the third quarter of 2007, recording 28.3% growth on an annual basis. Fintur added approximately 1.2 million net new subscribers in the third quarter of 2007 and its total subscriber base grew to 9.9 million.

We account for our investment in Fintur using the equity method. Fintur's contribution to income was US$32.0 million (US$27.2 million) in the third quarter of 2007.

Astelit

During the third quarter of 2007, Astelit; our 55% owned subsidiary in Ukraine, recorded promisingly positive results.

- Astelit grew its revenue by 267.4% on annual basis

- Astelit recorded positive EBITDA of US$2.9 million for the first time

- Astelit's operational indicators have remained very strong with subscribers reaching 7.6 million by growing 65.2% on an annual basis

- 3 month active subscriber base grew 147.4% on annual basis

- 3 month active ARPU increased by 48.7% on annual basis

The encouraging trends in Astelit's financial and operational performance continued and it achieved an important milestone by reporting positive EBITDA for the first time in the third quarter of 2007, which was ahead of our plans. We expect to see this positive trend continuing in the coming quarters.


   Summary Data for Astelit           Q3     Q2      Q3

                                    2006   2007    2007

   Number of subscribers (million)
   Total                             4.6    6.3     7.6
   Active (3 months)(2)              1.9    4.0     4.7

   Average Revenue per User

   (ARPU) in US$
   Total                             1.7    3.0     3.6
   Active (3 months)                 3.9    5.0     5.8

   Revenue                          20.7   54.8    76.0
   EBITDA(3)                       (21.9)  (9.6)    2.9
   Net Loss                        (57.9) (46.1)  (42.0)

   Capex                            27.3   53.0    26.1


In the context of the financing of Astelit's operations in line with previously indicated plans, depending on the market conditions and its financial performance, Astelit aims to arrange a loan within the next 12-18 months through a new financing package. However, based on capital requirements of Astelit, we may need to contribute to the financing of Astelit's operations in the form of equity in 2008.

Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures

We believe that EBITDA is a measure commonly used by companies, analysts and investors in the telecommunications industry, which enhances the understanding of our cash generation ability and liquidity position and assists in the evaluation of our capacity to meet our financial obligations. We also use EBITDA as an internal measurement tool and, accordingly, we believe that the presentation of EBITDA provides useful and relevant information to analysts and investors.

Beginning from the 2006 fiscal year, we have revised the definition of EBITDA which we use and we report EBITDA using this new definition starting from the first quarter of 2006 results announcement to provide a new measure to reflect solely cash flow from operations.

The EBITDA definition used in our previous press releases and announcements had included Revenue, Direct Cost of Revenue excluding depreciation and amortization, Selling and Marketing expenses, Administrative expenses, translation gain/(loss), financial income, share of profit of equity accounted investees, gain on sale of investments, income/(loss) from related parties, minority interest and other income/(expense). Our new EBITDA definition includes Revenue,Direct Cost of Revenue excluding depreciation and amortization, Selling and Marketing expenses and Administrative expenses, but excludes translation gain/(loss), financial income, share of profit of equity accounted investees, gain on sale of investments, income/(loss) from related parties, minority interest and other income/(expense).

EBITDA is not a measure of financial performance under IFRS and should not be construed as a substitute for net earnings (loss) as a measure of performance or cash flow from operations as a measure of liquidity.

The following table provides a reconciliation of EBITDA, which is a non-GAAP financial measure, to net cash from operating activities, which we believe is the most directly comparable financial measure calculated and presented in accordance with IFRS.


   TURKCELL                 Q3      Q2      Q3   Q3 2007- Q3 2007-Q2
                                                                2007
   US$ million            2006    2007    2007   Q3 2006
                                                               % Chg
                                                   % Chg

   EBITDA                477.1   596.9   771.5     61.7%       29.3%
   Other operating        (1.4)    3.1     2.4   (271.4%)     (22.6%)
   income/(expense)
   Financial income       40.5    53.3    83.5    106.2%       56.7%
   Financial expense      42.8  (163.5) (230.7)  (639.0%)      41.1%
   Net                    35.7  (177.2)  316.0    785.1%      278.3%
   increase/(decrease)
   in assets and
   liabilities
   Net cash from         594.7   312.6   942.7     58.5%     201.6%
   operating activities


   EUROASIA (Astelit)     Q3     Q2     Q3 Q3 2007-Q3 Q3 2007-Q2
                                                 2006       2007
   US$ million          2006   2007   2007
                                                % Chg      % Chg

   EBITDA              (21.9)  (9.6)   2.9     113.2%     130.2%
   Other operating      (0.1)     -    0.2     300.0%         -
   income/(expense)
   Financial income      0.4    0.4    0.7      75.0%      75.0%
   Financial expense   (10.8) (17.2) (21.5)     99.1%      25.0%
   Net                 (10.1) (11.0)  31.8     414.9%     389.1%
   increase/(decrease)
   in assets and
   liabilities
   Net cash from       (42.5) (37.4)  14.1     133.2%     137.7%
   operating
   activities


Turkcell Group Subscribers

We have approximately 45.0 million proportionate GSM subscribers as of September 30, 2007. This is calculated by taking the number of GSM subscribers in Turkcell and each of our subsidiaries and multiplying the number of unconsolidated investees by our percentage ownership interest in each subsidiary. This figure includes the proportionate rather than total number of Fintur's GSM subscribers, but includes the total number of GSM subscribers in Ukraine and in our operations in Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus ("Northern Cyprus") because the financial statements of our subsidiaries in Ukraine and Northern Cyprus are consolidated within our financial statements.


   Turkcell Group        Q3     Q2    Q3  Q3 2007-  Q3 2007-Q2
   Subscribers                                            2007
                       2006   2007  2007  Q3 2006
   (million)                                             % Chg
                                            % Chg

   Turkcell            30.8   33.8  34.8    13.0%         2.9%
   Ukraine              4.6    6.3   7.6    65.2%        20.6%
   Fintur (pro rata)    1.7    2.1   2.3    35.3%         9.5%
   Northern Cyprus      0.2    0.3   0.3    50.0%           -
   TURKCELL GROUP*     37.3   42.5   45.0    5.9%        20.6%

Forward-Looking Statements

This press release may include forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 and the Safe Harbor provisions of the US Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. All statements other than statements of historical facts included in this press release, including, without limitation, certain statements regarding our operations, financial position and business strategy may constitute forward-looking statements. In addition, forward-looking statements generally can be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology such as, among others, "may," "will," "expect," "intend," "plan," "estimate," "anticipate," "believe" or "continue."

Although we believe that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are reasonable at this time,we can give no assurance that such expectations will prove to be correct. Given these uncertainties, readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on such forward-looking statements. All written and oral forward-looking statements attributable to us in this release are expressly qualified in their entirety by reference to these cautionary statements.

http://www.turkcell.com.tr

About Turkcell

Turkcell is the leading GSM operator in Turkey with 34.8 million postpaid and prepaid customers as of September 30, 2007 operating in a three player market with a market share of approximately 58% as of June 30, 2007 (Source: The Telecommunications Authority). In addition to high-quality wireless telephone services, Turkcell currently offers General Packet Radio Service ("GPRS") countrywide and Enhanced Data Rates for GSM Evolution ("EDGE") in dense areas, which provide for both improved data and voice services. Turkcell provides roaming with 565 operators in 196 countries as of November 7, 2007. Serving a large subscriber base in Turkey with its high-quality wireless telephone network, Turkcell reported US$4,521 million net revenue for the nine months ended September 30, 2007 and US$4,700 million net revenue for the year ended December 31, 2006 as per IFRS financial statements. Turkcell has interests in international GSM operations in Azerbaijan, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Moldova, Northern Cyprus and Ukraine. Turkcell has been listed on the New York Stock Exchange ("NYSE") and the Istanbul Stock Exchange ("ISE") since July 2000 and is the only NYSE listed company in Turkey. 51.00% of Turkcell's share capital is held by Turkcell Holding, 4.22% by Cukurova Group, 13.07% by Sonera Holding, 4.07% by M.V. Group and 0.01% by others while the remaining 27.63% is free float.

(1) Please note that all financial data is consolidated and comprises of Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri A.S., (the "Company", "Turkcell") and its subsidiaries and its associates (together referred to as the "Group"). All non-financial data is unconsolidated and comprises of Turkcell only. The terms "we", "us", and "our" in this press release refer only to the Company, except in discussions of financial data, where such terms refer to the Group, and where context otherwise requires.

(2) Active subscribers are those who in the past three months made a transaction which brought revenue to the Company.

(3) EBITDA is a non-GAAP financial measure. See page 11 for the reconciliation of Euroasia's EBITDA to net cash from operating activities. Eurasia holds 100% stake in Astelit.


   For further information please contact:

   Contact:

   Turkcell:

   Investors:
   Koray Ozturkler, Investor Relations
   Tel: +90-212-313-1500
   Email: [email protected]

   Ferda Atabek, Investor Relations
   Tel: +90-212-313-1275
   Email: [email protected]
   [email protected]

   Media:

   Doruk Arbay, Corporate
   Communications
   Tel: +90-212-313-2319
   Email: [email protected]

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Here's a link to an IBD video that pretty much tells it all. I hope it works for non-subscribers. I would REALLY APPRECIATE if someone would tell me if it works for them or not. Thanks.

IBD rating 99=A+, "Best in Group" overall and attractiveness ranks, #3 out of 61 technical rank, #9 out of 61 fundamental rank.

http://www.investors.com/includes/edit/multimedia/dsa/111407_dsa_tkc/111407_dsa_tkc.html

kslifka

Applaud...my favorite looking chart. ;D

BigSully1

Thanks Kslifka. Did you try the IBD link for the video? I'd really like to know if it works without a sucbscription.

bjc

Yes, the link worked.  I like this one a lot.

Appreciate the IBD link, those videos are awesome. 


bjc

#5
Unfortunately, I hadn't taken a deep enough look into TKC until now.  Oh well, better late than missing the boat completely. 

$0.46 of EPS Q307 and $1.72B in revs
Up from
$0.35 of EPS Q306 and $1.20B in revs

TKC is a hidden gem.  It has been a huge performer but personally I think it could be justified trading at $50 with this kind of growth.  Great pick Sully, applaud.


I dumped my TNE and VIV.  TNE for a small loss and VIV for a smaller gain.  TNE looks a lot better than when I sold it yesterday when it was showing red, but I just got impatient.  These stocks confuse me.  The Brazilian markets have been doing great but these have not followed.  Oh well, I still like both but I'm moving on. 

Again great pick on TKC.  I'll leave chart.

Edit:  Here is an excellent in-depth report of their earnings. 

Love this stock!!

bjc

bought TKC this morning.  Fundamentals are always improving and the stock is just too cheap.  I think it will be $50 within a year, and if they can continue to grow at this rate, even much higher.

$0.46 in most recent Q..growing fast, and stock price is just 29.  It doesn't quite add up for me, so I'll make it my largest holding.

I wanted to wait for a dip, as it has had trouble and then a ~20% pullback at 20, 25, etc.  But VIP had the same pattern and it is busting through 40 so I decided to just get in.  If I lose a quick 15% or so, that's fine.  I'm confident TKC will be far higher in one year!

BigSully1


bjc

Well, crappy timing on my buy but that is fine.  I may add a bit more if we get a bit closer to the 50 ma.  This stock is a no brainer, you know there's going to be sell offs but you always know but it will come back and make new highs.

bjc

I'd keep an eye on TKC.  Sully I'm guessing you're still long this one is a hidden treasure imo.  I like your style you buy the best and hold on, or at least thats what it seems from what I've observed?


I think TKC is ready for another rock and roll session after resting for a bit.   VIP has been completely en fuego.  I don't know how long it will rally like this but I think after this parabolic bit it will have a nice pull back and consolidate much like CHL has.  Then it is TKC's turn, or TKC's turn could start while VIP is still rolling.

But it isn't magic why these stocks are going up.  Their fundamentals are terrific and it is just everybody catching up with how cheap these stocks really are.  I think TKC is a $50 stock by the end of 08 and I don't think that is even very aggressive. 

BigSully1

Yes, I don't have any plans to sell any in the near term. Gonna just let er ride. Hang in with it.

bjc

Oh yeah, Sully..I'm an IBD subscriber now.  I haven't gotten the newspaper yet but I have access to the IBD 100 (what I really wanted the newspaper for) and I have access to investors.com.  I like the stock checkup but sometimes it isn't that useful if a stock hasn't shown earnings and rev growth for long enough.  I feel like it is a little bit behind, but I think IBD is an amazing tool to find great stocks.

BigSully1

Quote from: bjc on December 26, 2007, 02:34:28 PM
Oh yeah, Sully..I'm an IBD subscriber now.  I haven't gotten the newspaper yet but I have access to the IBD 100 (what I really wanted the newspaper for) and I have access to investors.com.  I like the stock checkup but sometimes it isn't that useful if a stock hasn't shown earnings and rev growth for long enough.  I feel like it is a little bit behind, but I think IBD is an amazing tool to find great stocks.

Sure, sometimes they are behind the curve some because they want to see a history of Q's and even to a lesser extent, years of solid growth. That is why they still show CSIQ very low on the totem pole. Many times that is a good thing though as it weeds out the 1 or 2 Q wonders and there is usually still plenty of room for price appreciation after "proving" themselves. The real trick is to find gems before they ever get on the IBD 100, like you guys have done with SOLF and CSIQ and is also what I strive to do.  Hope to see both SOLF and CSIQ on the "100"in the future.

BigSully1

bjc, just wondering if you looked at FSIN. I think no one here is paying much attention to it because it's still on the "penny" stocks board, even though it is a Nasdaq listing now. Hopefully setravis will move it over here to the stock picking board.

I wouldn't suggest anyone buy it right now, that's only because it's now pretty far extended since breaking out of its base. I believe it's still at a VERY reasonable and undervalued price thouigh and will continue holding.

bjc

I think TKC is primed for a move higher. 

Perfect situation of a stock with amazing fundamentals and a perfect base.  Low volume on the pullbacks, etc.  I feel like time is running out for cheap shares of TKC, personally.

A longer term trend line has been broken as Garoh pointed out on the options thread I started, I feel this is insignificant due to holding above support and low volume in consolidation.  I don't think anyone really wants to sell and once we get above 28-30 range we should see a lot of panic buying on these impressive fundamentals.

This stock is #20 on the IBD 100.