NVAX - Sector: Healthcare --- Industry: Biotechnology & Drugs

[LiveLife]

Duplicate post from October 14:

European Union to hold Avian Crisis Talk on Friday!

EU experts now prepare for Avian pandemic with expected 25 million infections and 7 million deaths!!!

http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/birdflu_dc;_ylt=AmwUnc9pdZJFHpQuGS3xrjis0NUE;_ylu=X3oDMTA2Z2szazkxBHNlYwN0bQ--

[LiveLife]

Duplicate post from October 14:

Nice gain and volume activity today.  $2.50 - $2.55 resistance broken!

Another day of Institutional managers buying (chart from Lycos I-Watch):

[LiveLife]

Duplicate post from October 14:

Well, David, since you sold, I guess I will carry the torch for the moment.   

As the TA chart shows below, 10 day MA is rising above the 50 day MA with sustained volume and MACD in the positive territory (David, you taught me that, thanks).

I'll continue to hold through next week, towards Wednesday's Bio Investor Forum 2005 in San Francisco, while re-evaluating my position daily depending on the stock activity.

Good trading!

[LiveLife]

Duplicate post from October 15:

News Update - Avian virus now showing resistance to Tamiflu.


10/15/2005 07:09:20 AM EDT
Daily Post


ATTEMPTS to control the deadly bird flu could be helping to create a drug resistant form of the virus, new research suggested last night.

Scientists identified a strain of the H5N1 virus in Vietnam resistant to Tamiflu, the drug being stockpiled to fight any outbreak in the UK.

It was found in a Vietnamese girl who was put on a course of preventative treatment with Tamiflu for four days in February.

Medics fear she may be one of the first H5N1 victims to acquire the virus through person-to-person transmission The British government does not plan to offer Tamiflu, one of a class of drugs called neuraminidase inhibitors, to healthy people as a precaution.

But prophylactic (taken as a preventative measure) use of Tamiflu was part of the control measures being adopted in Asian hotspots where about 60 people died from the virus.

The new findings, due to be published in the journal Nature next week, suggest it may be contributing to the emergence of drug resistance.

Viruses and bacteria can become resistant if the treatment used against them was too weak.

Up to now the virus has only been known to pass from birds to humans. At least one other case of transmission between humans has been suspected, but not confirmed.

Health experts fear that if the virus mutates into a form that transmits easily between people it could trigger a global pandemic claiming millions of lives.

A team led by Yoshihiro Kawaoka, from the University of Tokyo in Japan, looked at 10 viral clones from the girl and found six were highly resistant to Tamiflu.

Three others were slightly resistant and one was "highly sensitive".

However even the highly resistant virus did succumb to another drug, zanamivir - marketed as Relenza - which has been suggested as an alternative bird flu treatment but so far not been widely adopted.

A Department of Health spokeswoman said there were no current plans to administer it prophylactically either to members of the public or health workers

[LiveLife]

Here is last week's Lycos I-watch recap.  There's been a lot of accumulation with little selling activity.  If accumulating continues next week, it is good for NVAX.

If buying activity stops, then managers will be holding for sell points.

I am holding NVAX through Wednesday's Bio Investor Forum 2005 in San Francisco, unless there is a nice gain.  Then I'll sell to take profit and buy back on pullback/dip.

Good trading!

[LiveLife]

Yes LiveLife, I'm still with you.  Holding 1500 of 5000.  I dropped 3500 when it originally couldn't hold 2.56 . With all the attention surrounding the bird flu, any little bit of negative info regarding the effectiveness of its product will cause the bottom to drop out.

Yes trader567, we all need to be very careful during this "bearish" market.  Any hiccup and there is sell off across the board.

Those that have any worries or doubts can sell and ride out the "bearish" time and buy back when the market rebounds, like what David is doing (he cashed out all positions last week).

I'll be watching NVAX very closely on Monday.

Good trading!

[LiveLife]

Duplicate post from premium NVAX board:

Yes LiveLife, I'm still with you.  Holding 1500 of 5000.  I dropped 3500 when it originally couldn't hold 2.56 . With all the attention surrounding the bird flu, any little bit of negative info regarding the effectiveness of its product will cause the bottom to drop out.

Yes trader567, we all need to be very careful during this "bearish" market.  Any hiccup and there is sell off across the board.

Those that have any worries or doubts can sell and ride out the "bearish" time and buy back when the market rebounds, like what David is doing (he cashed out all positions last week).

I'll be watching NVAX very closely on Monday.

Good trading!

[LiveLife]

FYI - 50 day MA crossing 200 day MA:

[LiveLife]

FYI - 50 day MA crossing 200 day MA:

[422fwhp]

I still with ya too.

[LiveLife]

Here's the link to the Bio Investor Forum 2005 to be held in San Francisco this Wednesday where CEO of NVAX will present:

http://investorforum.bio.org/opencms/bif/2005/index.jsp

[David Randolph]

I made a mistake when I sold this stock last week. It held on the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level and it is clearly about to breakout. I will correct my selling mistake by buying back the stock.

The Avian Flu story unfortunately isn't going away soon, and from what I've read on this thread, particularly that thing with the Vietnamese girl and the EU talk, will only add to strong speculation on this group.

I am a speculator, I must be in.

[clearcoated]

For those interested in NVAX DD, I just came across this .pdf on
Novavax website of a presentation from 9/21/05

Avian flu vaccine is definitely a focus in their short term plan.

http://library.corporate-ir.net/library/71/711/71178/items/166206/Sept2005IRPresentation.pdf

pg 23-39 vaccine development

[la-onda]

NVAX September presentation:

http://library.corporate-ir.net/library/71/711/71178/items/166206/Sept2005IRPresentation.pdf

[LiveLife]

Duplicate post from Premium NVAX board:

"Nice to have you back in NVAX David!

I made a mistake when I sold this stock last week. It held on the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level and it is clearly about to breakout. I will correct my selling mistake by buying back the stock.

The Avian Flu story unfortunately isn't going away soon, and from what I've read on this thread, particularly that thing with the Vietnamese girl and the EU talk, will only add to strong speculation on this group.

I am a speculator, I must be in.

"