Stock Picks (1st Edition)

[Ramsburg]

To Submit your Stock Pick, reply to this Topic following the Standard Layout:

1)   Stock Pick
(Ticker & Name of the Company)

2)   Reason behind this pick
(a Text with at least 100 words, featuring the reasons of your stock pick)

3)   Stock Chart
(Click in additional options, browse for your chart file GIF/JPG/PNG and add it to your post, if you don't have a Charting software, we suggest you copy a chart from www.stockcharts.com)

Important: Do not use this thread to another purpose rather than submitting your stock pick. For organizational purposes, any reply that is not a stock pick will be deleted.

[calven]

1)   Stock Pick: UBET - YouBet.com, Inc

2)   Reason behind this pick:

Above both its 50 and 200 days moving averages.
Bouncing off long term upsloping support
Forming an ascending triangle (bullish usually)
Testing 52 week highs
Nearing the APEX of its triangle
In a long term consolidation pattern
Possible Cup & Handle
Most importantly, I OWN THE STOCK! 
-------------------------------------------------------------
Earnings - Thursday November 3, 2005
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3) Stock Chart:

Time Frame: 2 year
Indicators: Price by volume, MACD, 200 day ma, trendlines, volume

Start: $5.60
Current: $6.30

[Amarens]

My stock pick is WZEN.

Based in Seoul, Korea, WEBZEN Inc. has become a global leader in the MMOG market, and has developed some of the world's top online game and client/server technologies. Already having achieved critical mass in Asian markets with publishing arms in Taiwan, China, Japan, Philippines, and Thailand, WEBZEN Inc. has established WEBZEN America, a wholly owned US subsidiary based in Los Angeles. WEBZEN America leverages WEBZEN technology and partners with some of the most well-known names in the video games industry to deliver some of the most compelling, visually stunning graphics available in persistent world games. WEBZEN and WEBZEN America are poised to launch a diverse portfolio of online products and services, beginning with the highly anticipated fantasy MMORPG SUN, the Unreal 3.0 engine-based MMOFPS HUXLEY, and the original action MMOG All Points Bulletin (APB).

It has a very bullish patern.

It's currently trading above the short term, intermediate term and long term EMA's. New highs were reached four times in the last one and a half month. The stock has no MACD alerts.

The chart shows new trendlines setting twice in the last month.

And last but not least I like the Japanese market at the moment. It is very bullish and a lot of money is being invested. I wanted my pick to be Japanese  .

I do not own the shares. Each time I expected a serious rebound but it did not come...

Amarens

[puenthouse]

CHK
My pick is a bit larger then most im sure.  To go for a win, i will have to stick with this years power house  (Energy).  I see this stock at high 40s by christmas.  It might not double like some of these stocks, but I am sure to see gains out of it.

Chesapeake Energy Corporation engages in the acquisition, development, exploration, production, and marketing of oil and natural gas in the United States. As of December 31, 2004, the company'S estimated proved reserves were 4.9 trillion cubic feet of natural gas equivalent and owned interests in approximately 19,800 producing wells.
This baby has doubled this year and will see much further growth

Many experts say closer to $51
CHK is very well positioned for growth

[owen654321]

1)   Stock Pick : Komag (KOMG)

2)   Reason behind this pick
KOMG has a forward P/E of 7.5.  Analysts' opinions for next year's earnings have increased in the last 90 days from $3.39 to $3.59.  This kind of value creates a fairly solid base with limited long-term downside risk.

There is currently a negative feel to the entire "moving parts" disk drive sector.  The stock dropped on heavy volume prior to earnings, which were outstanding.  This gloom and doom attitude provides an excellent buying opportunity.  KOMG has 29.82 million shares outstanding, and there are currently 8 million shares short (as of October 11).  This is 27%+ of the float, and an increase from 5.3 million shares short in September.  With an average volume of 1.6 million, shares are quickly trading hands into those who will hold for the long-term.

KOMG's chart looks terrible, and I expect it might limp along for the next week.  However, all this gloom and doom, a low float, solid earnings, and a short ratio of 7.6 sets the stage to surprise the market, the technical analysts, and the shorts.  Therefore, I am betting that the pps of KOMG will increase substantially from November-December.

3)   Stock Chart : check out the selling pressure lately.  I believe this will make a nice "U" over the next month (the duration of the stock picking contest!), breaking the downtrend.

[tugsinav]

1)   Stock Pick
HOM - Home Solutions of America Inc.

2)   Reason behind this pick

2.1 Very high growth rate company.  Hom grew amazingly in last 2 years on both revenue and income. HOM is also on #2 of IBD highest-rated stocks under $10.
Financial: http://finance.yahoo.com/q/is?s=HOM&annual
IBD: http://biz.yahoo.com/special/low912_05.html

2.2 Expect to have a good earning on Q3, earning out around NOV 14/15.

2.3 During the quarter, they expands disaster remediation infrastructure through acquisition of assets from florida environmental remediation services. They upgraded yearly earning guidance due to the damage from hurricane. We have 3 big hit from hurricane, so HOM should have a lot of work to do.
http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/050929/home_solutions_florida_environmental.html?.v=1
http://biz.yahoo.com/prnews/050929/dath012.html?.v=29

3)   Stock Chart

[wrangler]

Stock pick : NRGY  INERGY LP UTS
Reason : Cold weather coming and will be in great demand. Upgraded by Wachovia to outperform.
Inergy, L.P. Declares Increase in Quarterly Distribution
Wednesday October 26, 7:29 am ET 
22.4% Year-Over-Year Distribution Increase

KANSAS CITY, Mo.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Oct. 26, 2005--The Board of Directors of Inergy GP, LLC, managing general partner of Inergy, L.P. (Nasdaq:NRGY - News), today announced an increase in the company's quarterly cash distribution to $0.52 per limited partner unit ($2.08 annually) for the quarter ended September 30, 2005. This represents a 22.4% increase over the same quarter of the prior year, and a 2.0% increase over the distribution for the prior quarter. The distribution will be paid on November 14, 2005, to unitholders of record as of November 7, 2005. The Inergy, L.P. common unit ex-dividend date will be November 3, 2005.
bizjournals.com
Inergy sells N.Y. storage capacity
Wednesday October 26, 4:07 pm ET

Inergy LP said Wednesday that it has sold 100 percent of the capacity of a natural gas storage facility that it bought in July for $230 million.
The Stagecoach facility, based in Tioga County, N.Y., has 13.6 billion cubic feet of natural gas storage capacity. Inergy spokesman Mike Campbell said the company plans to spend $110 million to expand the facility's size by 13 billion cubic feet.

Kansas City-based Inergy (Nasdaq: NRGY - News) has bought rights to nearby natural gas reservoirs and is working through the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission to gain clearance. Construction would begin in 2006, and the expanded capacity would be in service by the fourth quarter of 2007.
Inergy, L.P. also announces updated guidance for the full fiscal year ended September 30, 2006, giving effect to the acquisitions closed to date, including the acquisition of Graeber which we expect to close during the month of October 2005. Inergy expects to generate EBITDA of $169 to $177 million in fiscal year 2006. In addition, Inergy expects to deliver approximately 415 to 435 million retail gallons of propane and generate $416 to $422 million of total gross profit. Below is a table reconciling this anticipated EBITDA to net income:


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Forecast Range ($ in millions) Fiscal Year Ended September 30, 2006

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Net Income(a)                                         $   42           $  50
Interest Expense(a) (b)                                   52              52
Depreciation and Amortization(a)                          74              74
Income Taxes(a)                                            1               1
                                                 -------------------------------
EBITDA(a)                                             $  169           $ 177
                                                 ===============================

Maintenance Capital Expenditures                      $    9           $   8
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Athakinu]

My pick for this contest would be ACTU.
ACTUATE CORP, (ACTU) provides information delivery solutions for Global 2000 companies, Internet start-ups and packaged application software vendors. The company builds solutions for customer applications including e-CRM, e-Procurement and Net marketplaces.

This pick is mostly based on fundamentals but in a technical view it was trading above $30 in 2001. Recently it delivered good numbers that showed increase in profits.
There have been some accumulation going on among institutonal investors.


Total revenues of $26.8 million increased 13% compared to the third quarter of 2004;
License revenues of $8.9 million increased 11% compared to the third quarter of 2004;
Non-GAAP EPS of $0.06 increased $0.07 compared with the third quarter of 2004;
Repurchased 864,000 shares at a total cost of $2.0 million;
Non-GAAP operating margin was 18%, a record-setting level for the second consecutive quarter;
Non-GAAP net profit margin was a record 13%;
Cash flow from operations for the third quarter 2005 was $3.3 million, bringing the 2005 year-to-date total to $8.3 million;
Cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments reached a record $50.8 million;
Services margin continued to improve to a record 68%.

It is trading now sideways in the 2.80-2.90 area but it might close a gap around 2.6. I wouldn´t bet on that though

[healey]

My pick is SIRI

Sirius Satellite Radio Inc provides satellite radio services to approximately 1.2 million subscribers. The company provides commercial-free music channels comprising pop, rock, country, hip hop, R&B, dance, jazz, classical, latin, sports, news, talk, entertainment, traffic, and weather programs.

I believe that technically and fundamentally this company is pointing much higher. The last four trading days have been parabolic and I expect a pull back, to the 50 MA. Hopfully a pull back happens before Monday not after.

In order to continue its growth and expansion it is to broadcast and sell the SIRIUS service in Canada. Also Sirius is offering two compact inexpensive and user-friendly units for holiday shoppers. They are the easiest and least expensive way for consumers to access SIRIUS content in their car. 
They have extended their exclusive relationship with DaimlerChrysler through to September 1, 2012. The agreement includes all Chrysler Group and Mercedes-Benz vehicles as well as Freightliner Trucks. For model year 2006 over 750,000 subscribers are expected to be generated from the Chrysler Group alone. SIRIUS radios are also currently offered in vehicles produced by Audi, BMW, Ford, Infiniti, Lincoln-Mercury, Lexus, Mazda, Mini, Nissan, Porsche, Scion, Toyota, Volkswagen and Volvo.
As of September 30, 2005, SIRIUS had 2,173,920 subscribers. The third quarter subscriber figure reflects net additions of 359,294 subscribers, a 97% increase over the year-ago figure of 181,948 net subscriber additions.
If the company has the fourth quarter which they expect you could see this company taking off very soon. Both long term and short term, I think that Sirius is very undervalued. If the contest went to January I would feel more confident because I think it has some retracement to do.

[boatguy]

1)  My pick is NABI

2) For the purposes of this contest I am hoping for a bounce off the recent sell off (not until the contest starts though) The failure of NABI's drug candidate while a disaster for the company and shareholders resulted in a panic sell off that I hope may have gone to far. Hopefully in the next month investors will find enough value left in the companies other products to move the pps up percentage wise from the recent lows.

PR about clinical trial failure  http://biz.yahoo.com/prnews/051101/nytu109.html?.v=27

NABI's other drug candidates

About NicVAX

NicVAX is Nabi Biopharmaceuticals' novel, innovative and proprietary investigational vaccine being developed to treat nicotine addiction and prevent smoking relapse. The company was recently awarded a $4.1 million grant by the U.S. National Institute on Drug Abuse (NIDA), part of the National Institutes of Health, for partial funding of the company's development program for NicVAX.

By the end of 2005, Nabi Biopharmaceuticals intends to announce preliminary safety and immunogenicity results from a Phase IIb clinical study in Europe. These results will define the next clinical development steps for NicVAX. The company will manufacture NicVAX in its own vaccine facility in Boca Raton, Florida.

About Civacir

Civacir is an investigational human polyclonal antibody product that contains antibodies to the hepatitis C virus (HCV). Civacir is being developed for the prevention of hepatitis C after liver transplant.

The National Institutes of Health (NIH) has funded and conducted a Phase I/II clinical trial of Civacir in HCV-positive liver transplant patients at four study sites in the U.S. This randomized, controlled study evaluated the safety of dosing patients with Civacir during and after transplant surgery, the level of HCV-specific antibodies in trial subjects following dosing, liver enzyme levels (a measure of liver damage) and HCV levels in the transplanted livers.

3) NABI Chart

[poorman1]

Nanogen is my pick.

It was difficult to narrow down the opportunities to just one, but I believe NGEN has just as good chances of any of my top 5 candidates.

For the last 2 years Nanogen has boosted my portfolio returns nicely in the last weeks of December 2004 and December 2005.

I choose Nanogen based on:
1) The logic that the stock must be at depressed prices, with the hopes of crossing the 200 DMA sometime in the next month.
2) When the Merryl Lynch Nanotechnology index rallies ^NNZ, Nanogen is usually the leader of the group, as it is a "nano pure play".
3)  Earnings were release yesterday and revenue was up and the cash position was strong.  All you can ask for a highly-speculative company.  (must forget about losses - R&D driven)

[saffeysite1]

My pick is CBOU -caribou coffee.  Will become starbucks leading competitor.  Coffee has become an expensive commodity.

Stock recenlty IPO and now is reversing in trend.  This is short and long term winner I believe.


On October 4, 2005, Caribou Coffee Company, Inc. closed its initial public offering of 5,358,000 shares of its common stock with net proceeds to the Company of $67.7 million.

Highlights for the third quarter of 2005 compared to the third quarter of 2004 include:

Total net sales grew 26 percent to $48.8 million
Comparable coffeehouse net sales increased 3.7 percent
Opened 19 company operated coffeehouses and one licensed coffeehouse
Other Sales advanced 153 percent in the quarter
Adjusted EBITDA was $3.2 million
Net loss of $1.2 million, or ($0.08) per share versus a net loss of $0.8 million, or ($0.06) per share.
Balance sheet strengthened with proceeds from IPO
"We are pleased with our third quarter results as we continue to build momentum in the business by accelerating coffeehouse unit expansion, driving comparable coffeehouse sales growth through innovative offerings such as 'Bou Gourmet, and maximizing commercial and licensing opportunities. The proceeds from the IPO will enable us to continue new coffeehouse development and further establish our brand. We are excited about the growth prospects for Caribou Coffee and look forward to the opportunity of maximizing long-term value for all shareholders," stated Michael Coles, Chairman, Chief Executive Officer and President.

[fous]

1) My stock pick GTW    
   Gateway Inc

2) Earnings for the quarter were just recently released for GTW (the #3 computer company in the world) with profits of $15.1 million(4 cents/share) on 1.02 billion in revenue(highest quarterly revs of the year so far). During the same quarter last year GTW lost $59 million(-16 cents/share) on 915 million in revenues. Looks like GTW could be getting back up on its feet.

-Gateway Closes Three Major Federal Deals Valued at More Than $20 Million
Gateway Secures Contracts with the Social Security Administration, Department of the Interior and Department of Defense Dependents Schools for Products and Services
10/24/2005 8:01:46 AM

-Gateway Expands Retail Distribution Through Telnor, Baja Mexico's Leading Telephone Company
10/25/2005 8:02:19 AM

-California Highway Patrol Nabs Gateway's Convertible Notebooks(1.7million contract)
Gateway Selected for Its Unmatched Customer Service and Willingness to Meet the Organization's Unique Challenges
10/19/2005 8:02:13 AM

getting some attention:



TA:
GTW's long term price action is forming a farily large descending wedge. Might i add that today price action broke out of an ascending triangle with a price target that will break me out  of this wedge which would be very bullish. The triangle breakout gives me a target of 3.34 wich also puts me in uncharted territory hopedfully to fill that ugly gap. If volume picks up and some momentum gets goin i think i could see that gap closed especailly with the positive outlook financially for GTW as well as being able to get it at a bargain price.

3) Chart:


Good luck all contestents!

may the best trader win (or luckiest  )

-fousc

[shawFund]

My pick: AOB

Chart clearly shows ascending trendline and ready to break out at $5.75. Target: $8.00

The company will report earnings sometime this month and with the momentum, I am expecting they will give a good number.

Breakout happened on Friday with highest volume. I wish that the breakout would happen on Monday, not Friday. But I took position on Friday.

[usedcasting]

First or Last, no guts no glory!

1) Fonar (ticker symbol - fonr)

This pick has a thread which I started a little ways back, may I say a dead thread, for understandable reasons.
Ok, I have been following this stock for about 6 months and have not enjoyed the ride but I have high hopes.

2)Reasons behind the pick;
a) I believe it has bottomed out, at least I hope.
b) Sector choice - first rate - medical
c) Product - MRI machine (Stand up - proprietary technology - only one of its kind with patent behind it)
d) rising institutional accumulation
e) Low debt to Equity ratio
f) sales growth 46% last 12 mo.
                      34% last 3 yrs
                      23% last 5 yrs
g) Earnings per share growth improved for last 3 years
h) After the sale of a machine, servicing the units is there best source of revenue
i) I believe earning come out during contest so that might be a make or break.
J) Press releases have been picking up recently along with a bit of upward action in the stock    price over the last few days. With movement in the markets maybe it will be seen as an  undervalued play.

3)Sorry about the big chart, good luck all.