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Post your pick HERE (5th Edition)

Started by Ramsburg, April 19, 2006, 08:51:09 PM

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beroznikmal

My pick is NMSS.... ;D
Background:

Recent News release:
Quarterly earnings amounted to $1.7 million, or 3 cents per share, compared with a year-earlier loss of $2.1 million, or 4 cents per share. Excluding $122,000 in amortization charges and $786,000 in stock-based compensation costs, earnings were $2.6 million, or 5 cents per share.
Revenue increased to $30.7 million from $22.6 million in the prior-year quarter.
The company said it expects full-year revenue of $123 million to $128 million. Excluding stock compensation and amortization, NMS sees per-share profit of 12 cents to 16 cents in the quarter. Wall Street is looking for 2006 earnings per share of 13 cents on $122.8 million in revenue.


Composite Indicator 
   Trend Spotter TM Buy 
 
Short Term Indicators 
   7 Day Average Directional Indicator Buy 
   10 - 8 Day Moving Average Hilo Channel Buy 
   20 Day Moving Average vs Price Buy 
   20 - 50 Day MACD Oscillator  Hold 
   20 Day Bollinger Bands Buy 
 
Short Term Indicators Average:   80% - Buy
20-Day Average Volume - 514700
 
Medium Term Indicators 
   40 Day Commodity Channel Index Buy 
   50 Day Moving Average vs Price Buy 
   20 - 100 Day MACD Oscillator Buy 
   50 Day Parabolic Time/Price Buy 
 
Medium Term Indicators Average:   100% - Buy
50-Day Average Volume - 345188
 
Long Term Indicators 
   60 Day Commodity Channel Index Buy 
   100 Day Moving Average vs Price Buy 
   50 - 100 Day MACD Oscillator Buy 
 
Long Term Indicators Average:   100% - Buy

thamks
B
Up and down it goes, where it ends nobody knows....Or do we.....;)

Deadb440

My Pic is CDIC - CardioDynamics International Corp.

Summary
CardioDynamics, the ICG Company, is the innovator and leader of breakthrough medical technology called Impedance Cardiography. The company's BioZ Systems are being used by leading physicians around the world to help battle the number one killer of men and women -- cardiovascular disease. Partners include GE Healthcare and Philips Medical Systems.  

The CEO Michael K. Perry recently stated....
"Despite the weaker than expected first quarter, we are optimistic about our future. We are encouraged by the opening of Medicare's reconsideration process for hypertension and the planned $4 million investment to provide additional cash resources to grow our business. We were very pleased to have the recent publications of two important clinical trials, our 11-center CONTROL study and Cleveland Clinic's ED-IMPACT study. The CONTROL trial demonstrated that BioZ-directed therapy was more than two times better than standard care for achievement of blood pressure control. The ED-IMPACT trial showed that there was a 13% diagnosis change and 39% treatment change in shortness of breath patients when physicians used BioZ data after initial assessment. We also anticipate the June publication of PREDICT, a 21-center ICG prognostic heart failure study, which identified ICG as the most powerful predictor of short-term heart failure hospitalization or death. These three studies represent the strongest scientific evidence in the Company's history which we believe should further drive ICG's clinical importance, visibility, market adoption, and ultimately a broadened national Medicare policy."

April 18, 2006: Various insiders including the CEO of CardioDynamics International Corporation (CDIC) purchased 62,500 shares of CDIC from the open market. CDIC rose 12.80% since the InsiderCow.com report.

Trade amount: 62,500 shares

Trade type: Open Market Buy

Trade price range: $1.23 - $1.26

My Price target is a modest $2.10 in the short term for an expected gain of 35.5%.....

Loffigus

Ticker:  ISV -  INSITE VISION INC COM (AMEX)

I am going to play ISV again, because there is still potential in this stock.  The way I see it is this:  The stock is right near the 52-week high, it has a price target of $4.00 per share, which is 60% above it's current price.  With the bull trend this stock has in place, i would not be surprised to see this price be achieved within a month before a cool down.  I will look to sell ISV if the price pushes into the $3.60-$4.00 range for a 50%-60% gain.


akclide

My pick is totally speculative play in oil and gas CNR.
I like this company because it is in one of top 5 industries.Has assets mostly in Republic of GEORGIA, and Republic of Kazakhstan.Spends lot less money to extract oil so will have a lot more profit if the energy crisis continue volume 10 day average is 1029080 vs 3 month avg. 854 686.

CanArgo Energy Corporation: Georgian Operations Update
Monday April 3, 4:48 pm ET


TBILISI, GEORGIA--(MARKET WIRE)--Apr 3, 2006 -- CanArgo Energy Corporation ("CanArgo") (AMEX:CNR - News) (OSE:CNR) today gave an update on its Georgian operations.
ADVERTISEMENT


Testing is progressing on the Norio MK72 exploration well where a comprehensive testing program is being carried out on oil bearing Oligocene sandstones.

The Oligocene sands which are now to be tested in the MK72 well had good oil shows whilst drilling, with oil to surface and with hydrocarbons being interpreted on the electric logs which indicated some 100 metres (330 feet) of net pay sands with porosities in the range of 15 to 20%. A cement plug was set in the lower part of the hole, sealing off the oil discovery made at Middle Eocene level, and then some 98 metres (322 feet) of the sands were perforated over the interval 3,687 metres (12,096 feet) to 4,152 metres (13,622 feet) Measured Depth in several runs using high penetration through-tubing conveyed perforating guns.

The well is showing good formation pressure, with surface shut-in pressures of up to 168 atmospheres (2,468 psig) being recorded, and with oil and gas recovered to surface, together with quantities of drilling mud. The oil gravity is approximately 45 degrees API. Natural gas lift is being used to clean-up the well, which is slugging clean oil and heavy mud with barite. This section was drilled with heavy mud in 2003 and it is expected that there is a still some quantity of mud to be recovered from the formation before continual oil flow is achieved. Testing will continue, but in order to asses the commerciality of the flow rate it could take several weeks for the well to clean-up properly. CanArgo is encouraged by the rapid pressure build up observed at the well-head each time the well is shut in for a period of time and expects a more stabilised oil flow to be achieved in time.

The Ninotsminda Field horizontal well N97H has been tested for approximately three weeks and has tested a total fluid rate of up to 1,145 barrels per day. The maximum oil flow rate achieved to date has been 385 barrels per day. The well is currently being gas lifted but is producing fluid with a high water cut, and it is believed that the well has intersected a water bearing fracture from the N4H horizontal well, which is located to the southwest of the end of the N97H borehole. Interference testing between the two wells has established that they are in pressure communication, despite the relatively large separation, and indeed the testing of the N97H well resulted in an increase in oil production from the N4H well. CanArgo believes that it will be necessary to seal off this water producing fracture in the N97H well in order to re-establish oil production, and is considering using the coiled-tubing unit which is available in Georgia for this purpose once production logging tools have been run to establish the position of the water producing zone which is believed to be towards the end of the horizontal section furthest from the original well bore.

The Manavi M12 appraisal well is currently drilling ahead at 1,611 metres (5,285 feet) in the 171/2 inch hole section. It is still forecast that this well will reach the Cretaceous reservoir section in early summer, after which testing is planned. Further testing of the Manavi M11Z well using a Schlumberger coiled-tubing unit was planned for April, but lack of certainty on the availability of equipment, and the higher cost of mobilisation for a single job has lead CanArgo to postpone this test until the completion of the Manavi M12 well, at which point the equipment could be mobilised for both jobs if it was found that acid stimulation should be necessary in M12. Given the small hole size and other mechanical complications in the M11Z well, CanArgo has decided that it should focus on getting a good test on the M12 well, which should have a significantly larger hole size, rather than a sub-optimal test on M11Z. It is still planned to test the M11Z well, following completion of M12.

Vincent McDonnell, Chief Operating Officer of CanArgo said, "This is very much an interim update on our testing program on both the MK72 exploration well on Norio and the N97H development well on Ninotsminda, and final test results may not be available for a number of weeks. However, we are encouraged by the results of our testing program on the MK72 Oligocene sands to date with indications of good formation pressure and light oil being flowed to surface. The well is still in the process of cleaning up and this may take some time as a significant amount of drilling mud may have been lost to the formation whilst drilling and we are allowing the well to clean up naturally. The early indications from the N97 horizontal sidetrack well is that it has potential to be a good oil producer, however, before it can be put into stabilised production it will be necessary to isolate the water producing fracture which it has intersected. We are drilling ahead on the Manavi appraisal well and we have decided to focus on the completion of this well and the achievement of optimum testing conditions before returning to the M11Z well to complete the well testing program there. As is often the case with carbonate reservoirs, acid stimulation may be required in order to initiate flow from the M12 well, consequently it has been decided to delay the mobilisation of a suitable coil tubing unit to Georgia until M12 has reached its target depth. Should the unit be required for both wells this would prove to be a more cost efficient approach."

CanArgo is an independent oil and gas exploration and production company with its oil and gas operations currently located in the Republic of Georgia and in Kazakhstan.

dwest718

#34
Alrighty folks... let's get to it.

My pick for the 5th Edition of this great contest?  The same as my pick for the 4th Edition of this great contest: NVTL

I'm almost in love with the dual movers of the wireless internet industry.  I own several hundred shares of SWIR and took profit on several of them on Friday (bought at 6.89, sold at 17.89  ;D).  NVTL is in the same industry and looking to make a run off of SWIR's success.  Great chart with a great supporting trend line below it after a big bounce off the bottom.  Solid volume to support the recent move and a bit of room to run before a gap to fill and the 200 dma.  Good positive up trend on the RSI and solid positive divergence on the MACD.  This baby needs to just keep rolling.

Here's the chart:


rickjust

#35
gold gold gold,
here is my pick CGR (amex)
Claude Resources, Inc. operates as a gold mining, and oil and gas company in Canada. The company, through its subsidiary, 3377474 Canada, Inc., engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of precious metal properties primarily in northern Saskatchewan, northern Manitoba, and northwestern Ontario. It owns Seabee gold mine in Saskatchewan and Madsen gold mine in northwestern Ontario. The company also owns Currie Rose properties. Claude Resources, through its other subsidiary, 574095 Alberta, Ltd., involves in the acquisition, development, and production of oil and natural gas principally in Alberta and southeastern Saskatchewan. As of December 31, 2004, it had net proved reserves of approximately 213.5 thousand barrels of oil and natural gas liquids and approximately 1,636 million cubic feet of gas. The company was incorporated in 1980 and is headquartered in Saskatoon, Canada.

this has been on a strong up trend since march with increasing volume. 52 week high close by at 148, macd positve, rsi heading back to 70 . but my main reason for this pick was to find  a stock between $1 and 2 that was in a uptrend in the gold sector, also there are rumors of a take over by gg which can't hurt .
maxi
glta

Quasi

#36
HI All

My pick is  HYGS

Hydrogenics has been one of my holdings for a few years now.  I originally owned Stuart Energy which designed and manufactured hydrogen generation equipment.  I then heard from a physics professor friend that Hydrogenics was doing some very interesting high tech stuff with fuel cells and testing equipment for the fuel cell industry in general, I liked the company and bought some.  Shortly thereafter Hydrogenics bought out Stuart, so I now have more Hydrogenics and still technically like their business so am still holding, been a little bumpy though.  I really like the idea that they are broad based, fuel cells, testing equipment and hydrogen generation, lots of revenue streams covering all aspects of the fuel cell trade.

Hard to pick a stock for this one month contest which is primed to run starting on April 24th, (and above $1 and 100K ave vol).  But I like the sector right now with oil high and alternate energy in the spotlight maybe this one can take off.   Currently just above the 100 and 200MA with the 100 just crossing the 200.  Weekly chart shows more volume coming in but also shows some overhead resistance which we will have to plow thru.

Charts below

thanks
Quasi
JMHO subject to change without notice,
Happy Investing / Trading

Quasi

Kublakhan

ZP - Zapworld

www.zapworld.com

Reasoning: ZAP is the world leader in advanced transportation including electric cars, fuel cell cars, hybrid cars, electric bicycles, electric scooters, seascooters, etc.  So I hear gas prices are going through the roof and everyone wants to find alternative energy options.  Volume has really picked up this last month and it looks like it wants to break out.


investar

My pick is GIGM (GigaMedia Ltd.) which is a familiar stock to most on 3SOF. My reasons for picking GIGM are both fundamental and technical. Fundamentally GIGM looks good after they sold their music stores and concentrated on on-line gaming industry.GigaMedia Limited provides on-line entertainment software and services. Through its subsidiary, Cambridge Entertainment Software, the company develops software for on-line entertainment services, including on-line gaming and social networking. It also offers FunTown game portal, an Asian casual game portal that provides an on-line MahJong game site. In addition, the company operates a broadband ISP through its subsidiary, Hoshin GigaMedia, which provides Internet access services to consumers and corporate subscribers in Taiwan.The major potential for GIGM is the huge potential of MahJong "for money". MahJong is very popular in the far east and the market is huge. In the meantime GIGM reported record earnings for 2005 Q4.

Technicaly, as the chart below shows the stock has been on a steady climb for the past 6 months and it seems that the stock is under serious and methodical accumulation.

I believe that there is a good chance that there would be a break out in the stock in the coming weeks and/or beyond.












mix_master_mike

selection: ARTG

Reasons: chart shows fantastic breakout and momentum up since (after 1.00-ish). There have been a lot of innexpensive plays that have won this competition because this smaller stocks have a lot more room to grow and be moved and often will in a shorter time than the big boys will. She's had relatively positive headlines as of late. Insider transactions have had a healthy mix of exercise of options, some selling and some buying (although to be sure the selling HAS beaten puchases). And this one isn't spoken of so often -- but they have a nice website. It's nice to see a smaller company that is well rounded - a lot of them have lousy websites. If they aren't going to take it all seriously then you shouldn't them... http://www.atg.com/. Many of the big holders I have a lot of respect for (the funds, that is). All chart shhtuff looks good and momentum with volume conf also nice.

Charts:

http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ta?s=ARTG&t=1y&l=off&z=l&q=l&p=m100,m50,v&a=&c=

(very nice)
Mike
www.vafrous.com

starfire

#40
A turnaround story that everyone would love! QLT is a biopharmaceutical company, headquartered in Vancouver, BC. Ticker: QLTI

Profile:
QLT, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of therapies primarily in the fields of ophthalmology and dermatology. Its approved product portfolio includes Visudyne, a photosensitizer, for the treatment of choroidal neovascularization; Eligard line of products for prostate cancer; Aczone, a dermatology product, for the treatment of acne vulgaris; lidocaine/prilocaine cream for topical anesthetic; mometasone furoate ointment for topical corticosteroid; erythromycin and benzoyl peroxide topical gel for antiacne; betamethasone dipropionate cream and fluticasone propionate cream for corticosteroid; and Ketoconazole shampoo for dandruff. The company's products under development include Eligard 3.75 milligram one-month product for the treatment of prostate cancer; Lemuteporfin for benign prostatic hyperplasia, which is in phase 2 clinical trials; Aczone, for the treatment of Rosacea and is in phase 2 study; Octreotide Atrigel, which is in phase 2 clinical study for the treatment of the symptoms of acromegaly; and GHRP-1-Atrigel, a formulation of growth hormone releasing peptide-1, for the treatment of malnutrition in end stage renal disease patients. The company has alliances with Han All Pharmaceutical, Co.; Key Oncologics; Luxembourg Pharmaceuticals, Ltd.; Mayne Pharma Pty, Ltd.; MediGene AG; Ranbaxy Laboratories, Ltd.; Sanofi-Synthelabo, Inc.; Sosei Co., Ltd; Tecnofarma International, Ltd.; Sandoz, Inc.; Pfizer, Inc.; Retinagenix, LLC; and Bio Delivery Science International. QLT was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Revenues:
2005 was a pruning year for QLTI. Had revenues of $240M. Forecast for 2006, is about $400M for their lead product Visudyne and the forecasst for Eligard is unknow at this point as they have had legal issues marketing that product, mainly patent related. However, the good news is that the legal terms have been settled and starting 1 May QLTI will be eligible to start marketing Eligard again, but the plans are not well defined!!!

PRofits:
2005 was a loss year as they had one write down of about $400M but were cash flow positive. 2006 is expected to be a profitable year. Earnings on 27 April 2006.

Other Highlights:
>> Sitting on a cash horde of approx $460M
>> Has debt of about $170M. Debt is convertible at $17    per share.
>> Have a lot of alliances with other Pharmas
>> QLTI is a global BioPharmaceutical company
>> About 92M O/S

TA
Both 50 and 200 day SMA are on an increasing trend. The golden crossover is nearing!
Slow Stock looks bullish as K line is top of on D line
ROC looks bullish as it is in increasing trend direction and finally
MACD is positive and looks bullish.

Action: Buy on the Open!

vic666

My Pick: HEB (Hemispherix Biopharma)

Fundamentals: I was actually thinking of CBMX, but somebody already picked it. I believe the bird flu sector in general is due for a rise after the deep pullback over the last several weeks...as simple as that...and the charts look good with price at good support levels roght now (20 and 50 MA's)

Technical Analysis:  Here's a chart....I see this runnning back up to 52 week highs of $4.15 pretty soon (within the month).

sitting pretty at support levels right now...stochastics shows time for a rise back up, the MACD is tredning from negative to poistive territory...good signs IMO.



Long term investments are short-term investments that have gone wrong.

defenderyou

My pick is Centillium Communications - CTLM It has been rising like a rocket recently and appears to be the only pure semi-play for the Telecom triple play buildout. Its product portfolio includes silicon integrated circuits and associated software that are used in communications equipment for various broadband markets, including digital subscriber line (DSL) and Voice over Packet (VoP) applications. Expect that CTLM reports a profitable quarter on Wed Apr 26th. They are in three fields - VOIP, Fiber to premise, ADSL2/VDSL2. They have clean balance sheet with 60 mill in cash plus $10 mill coming from shares offered recently at 3.40. They have no debt, deals with many, manage inventory efficiently and have reduced op expenses to about 12 mill per quarter. The potential to see $ 20 is here as mkt cap is only 206 mill. Applying forward PE of 60  CTLM would only have to earn 36 cents per share in a year to hit $20. That means $15 profit or $3.6 mill per quarter. With 55% margins revenue must only increase by $7 mill per quarter to make it. Look promising. Technically expect to hit $7 by contest end from current price of $5.11.

Here is the chart:


cjm

My pick: Microsoft (MSFT)

I realize that this stock has not done much over the last 5 years, but it is getting ready to make its move to the upside. Here are my reasons:

1) Conference call on Wednesday. This is typically the time of the year they give guidance for the upcoming year.

2) MSFT just released Vista interim build 5365 and Vista beta 2 is scheduled to be released next month. So far the signs are still good for a Jan '07 launch for Vista.

3) Should be announcing HD-DVD drive for the X-box. Wistron, one of the three manufacturers of the X-box plans to ramp up manufacturing to 1 million consoles per months starting in June.

4) Windows live @edu program has signed 72 colleges and universities.

5) Coming out with Live drive which will provide users with a virtual hard drive.

6) The long awaited EU trial starts on Monday.

7) Ask.com CEO is the new head of MSN.

8 ) Company plans to accelerate its stock buy back program during the second half of this year. Last count they had $10 billion on hand allocated to share buy backs.

9) Treo 700 W gets new push e-mail which is starting to enter Blackberry's territory.

10) Scheduled to release in June their new program to compete with Google's adsense.



Ramsburg


My Pick: Input/Output Inc. (Ticker: IO)

Profile:
Input/Output, Inc. and its subsidiaries offer seismic products and services to the oil and natural gas industry worldwide. It provides seismic data acquisition equipment, survey design planning services, software products, and seismic data processing services. The company operates in four segments: Land Imaging Systems, Marine Imaging Systems, Data Management Solutions, and Seismic Imaging Solutions.
Website: http://www.i-o.com

Reasons to Buy:

IO had a powerful breakout in March, followed by a breakaway gap, some consolidation and new breakout last Friday suggesting continuation. Volume was always present and above average.
$11.22 is an important level for IO, it's the last relative high and I expect this to be broken during this contest, opening a door to a higher move.
IO Fundamentals seems to be improving, when looking to Earnings and Revenues Trend (see last 2 charts in attach).

Charts:
Frederick Ramsburg
www.3stocksonfire.org

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