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AVNR - Sector: Healthcare---Industry: Drug Manufacturers - Other

Started by sir_joke, June 30, 2006, 09:53:56 AM

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sir_joke

Keep an eye on this one....  :o

cheers,
SJ

sir_joke

again... watch this one, play the daily spread and accumulate for a big pop!

42 days 'til FDA announcement. 10.7 million shares need to be covered.

institutions hold over 16 million shares of a 30 million share float. Are they the shorts as well?
It's highly unlikely. AVNR still on the SHO list. 

Cheers,
SJ

sebfr

Hi sir_joke ,

a believe a target at 10 is more reliable...

We can see a symetrical triangle pattern..Otherwise, a spinning top is appeared -> indecision.

Close at 6.18
stop-loss at 5.77
First Target at 7.50
Second target at 10

Reward/Risk ratio of 61.8 / 7.1 = 8.7...Good


sir_joke

It's moving today based on the abnormally upbeat presentation at UBS Warburg by Brandt CEO of Avanir.

All good things come to those who get in NOW!

cheers,
SJ

ScottishTrader

Well Sir-Joke,

Looks like I called it right last time on the short term top and pull-back to the low 6.00 range, but you might finally have something here.  Looks like a nice potential symmetrical trinagle reversal setup.  If it breaks 7.00 with decent volume, AVNR would be in breakout territory.  Will keep an eye on it....

sir_joke

moving beyond $7 but with no real volume... ah well...

strength in time will tell.

Charts be good  >:D

cheers,
SJ

sir_joke

Still moving... still building.

do some DD, folks. It will be worth it.

cheers,
SJ

sir_joke

blocked below $7... it's a hard fight but the shorts have to cover with the next 3 weeks.
FDA approval of Neurodex will cause a huge upswing in pps.

cheers,
SJ


sir_joke

great run on Friday... and only a small pull back today.

What was resistance is now support at $7.05.

cheers,
SJ

ps... similar to NRPH   short 21% vs.  AVNR short 34%

FDA approval at end of month....


sir_joke


sebfr

Great chart..

Triple bottom

ScottishTrader

Much props SJ,

I know you been trying to tell people here about AVNR, and you sure got your pop in the end.  Long may it continue ;D

I actually tried to buy in last week but my stupid scottish broker doesn't stock their shares...  needless to say I am changing brokers!!

Anyway, as for TA, I would watch how it treats $9 resistance - looks like it peeked its head and has backed off a bit today, may be worth setting a protective stop below 8.40.  But you're the man on this one, so I'll leave it up to you...

Enjoy them prrofits!!

sir_joke

volatility is huge today.... someone crashed the pps with 350K share dump at market...

pps dropped from $9.40 to $8.40... excellent trade opportunity.

With heavy volume over the last 3 days, the stock is showing Over Bought status but that
doesn't take into account the already gigantic short position or the PDUFA in 2 weeks.

Traders are going to increase volatility... This is one to play.  $9 will be broken again and then the next resistance is at $10.70 or so....

Next week's short position numbers release is going to be very illuminating.

Cheers,
SJ

ps.  next couple of days range... $8.30 to $10.70  With a LOT of trading opportunities.

pps.  I have an incredibly large stake in this one and therefore am not completely impartial.  >:D

stocks2watch2

I think this is oversold on the news, bought ***** @ 4.12

Avanir Pharmaceuticals receives FDA approvable letter for Zenvia for the treatment of involuntary emotional expression disorder
Briefing.com - October 31, 2006 8:30 AM ET
 
 
Co announces that it has received an approvable letter from the FDA for Zenvia (formerly referred to as Neurodex) for the treatment of involuntary emotional expression disorder. The co submitted a new drug application in January 2006, seeking to market Zenvia for the treatment of IEED in patients with neurologic diseases and brain injuries. The communication from the FDA indicates that AVANIR's application is approvable, subject to the FDA and AVANIR reaching agreement on what additional safety and efficacy data will be required. In accordance with FDA procedures, the co anticipates scheduling a meeting with the agency to discuss the approvable letter. Until the co is able to meet with the agency, it can not comment on the specifics of the approvable requirements. Additionally, the co cannot be certain that once it has met with the FDA, that it will choose to continue with the development of Zenvia as previously planned. "We will be working closely with the agency to determine the next steps required for the drug to receive marketing approval," said Eric Brandt, President and Chief Executive Officer of AVANIR. "We believe Zenvia can significantly improve the lives of patients, their families and their caregivers by reducing the emotional and social toll taken by IEED." (See 10/27 archives for PDUFA preview)

Livana

Today's low @ 3.50... will be closing near it.
I think tomorrow might be another down day. I'm waiting to see tomorrow's action before talking any action