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Session of 01/31/2007

Started by David Randolph, January 31, 2007, 09:29:46 AM

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David Randolph

#30
Quote from: nica33 on January 31, 2007, 10:42:18 AM
XIDE is on fire again today  ;D

Yes, XIDE, great stock, I as inclined to buy it yesterday all session but then opted for CPNE.OB and GOAM. XIDE is doing better than my two choices, but, well, one can't win them all.

Here's my take on XIDE from yesterday and the updated chart:

«
Quote from: nica33 on January 30, 2007, 10:34:46 AM
XIDE

Hi nica33, XIDE has an awesome long and short term chart :o Definitely on fire today.

Let me make some fundamental tests:

1) Market cap $340 M (a bit large for what we're looking here, but still acceptable);
2) Incredible revenue numbers of about $2.79 B for 2006. Price to Sales Ratio of about 0.12;
3) Still losing more than $30 M a quarter for the past 3 quarters;
4) No short term liquidity problems;

So, the problem with XIDE is that they had just one profitable quarter since they're a publicly traded company, and that was the first, Q2 2004. But still, the Price to Sales Ratio is just 0.12 and the industry average is 1.98.

The market is telling us the company will approach profitability (or at least lose less, soon), and if it starts closing that revenue multiple gap to its industry average, it can be a multi bagger (but that's of course a long shot).

Up 8.5% as we speak ... not bad, my short term outlook is positive.»

nica33

Hi David!  I'm not sure.  I guess you analyzed TGX.  Which is the link?

Thanks!
Keep it simple !!

pompano

zixi on fire  ZIXI  ZIXI ZIXI

David Randolph

Quote from: nica33 on January 31, 2007, 11:16:57 AM
Hi David!  I'm not sure.  I guess you analyzed TGX.  Which is the link?

Thanks!

No I didn't, someone requested it yesterday but there was no time. I'll try to do it today, thanks for the suggestion :)

tokyopua

RMIX concrete play, on fire and breakout
Chance favors the prepared mind

Aim4theFence

My bad, David.  I really need to read before I send the post.  Bad fingers.  It was not NXI (sorry I wasted your time).  It was NXG mining.  Low in Feb of last year around $1.92 and up to $4.82 in May of last year.  Made a nice move lately and hanging around $3.75-$3.79 right now. 

Aim

David Randolph

Quote from: pompano on January 31, 2007, 11:19:41 AM
zixi on fire  ZIXI  ZIXI ZIXI

Absolutely on fire pompano :o

But fundamentally I dislike it, losing more than it sells for the past 5 quarters. Accumulated deficit of $303 M :o

The market potential of their business model is so thin than I don't know how they will be able to survive without massive restructuring. I expect the company to dilute shareholder's value whenever there's a rally.

Today's news isn't significant enough in my opinion, and it doesn't provide details.

I would avoid ZIXI, but good luck :)

David Randolph

Quote from: Aim4theFence on January 31, 2007, 11:29:55 AM
My bad, David.  I really need to read before I send the post.  Bad fingers.  It was not NXI (sorry I wasted your time).  It was NXG mining.  Low in Feb of last year around $1.92 and up to $4.82 in May of last year.  Made a nice move lately and hanging around $3.75-$3.79 right now. 

Aim

No problem Aim, there's time. With time we'll probably cover them all.

Look how I'm cool, going for lunch now, will be back in half an hour 8)

cramercramer

ZIXI waiting a patents,can triple in few month /I think/

Stocky2000

soen.ob
breakout from bottom with good volume!

winner919

David, how bout OBCI? It was traded at high volume about two weeks ago but it is on the stage of consolidation.

BTW, I have a suggestion for the open market thread, is it possible that you have a summary of stock name at end of each day for the stock you analyzed? I think it might good for us to check your analysis in case we miss it.

Thanks

winner

David Randolph

Quote from: winner919 on January 31, 2007, 11:47:37 AM
David, how bout OBCI? It was traded at high volume about two weeks ago but it is on the stage of consolidation.

BTW, I have a suggestion for the open market thread, is it possible that you have a summary of stock name at end of each day for the stock you analyzed? I think it might good for us to check your analysis in case we miss it.

Thanks

winner

I'll take a look at OBCI today if I have time, 9 stocks in front of OBCI.

Good idea, probably I'll create a new thread with the ticker symbol and links to all stocks already covered, thanks :) (I'll do it over the weekend)

David Randolph

I guess today will be the first losing day of the 3 Stocks on Fire Portfolio, going down 2.15% as I write, with SILC down 2.57%, CPNE.OB down 4.7% and GOAM up 1%.

Anyway, I'm not planning to sell any of these 3 today ... but I'll keep covering, with ease, the suggestions you bring me, perhaps I'll pick them on another day (I don't mind if it has to be higher, not at all), thanks for your participation.


boatguy


TraderStar

Wow, thanks for the info on EVCC .. I have traded it 3 times with profit but missed the big jump from 4 to 7.  Thanks to your advice, I took 1/2 off today (got in yesterday near the low) and will put a tight stop on the rest just in case it makes one last jump :)

I look forward to your info on FRPT, that one looks like it has good fundies and potential.  Thanks to la-onda on another board, I also have traded it since 6. I'd like to get in again on this pullback, but not sure if it might not want to first fill its gap around 16.  thanks :)